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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.08+7.25vs Predicted
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2Brown University0.87+7.19vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.78+6.37vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.07+4.30vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.49+5.54vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.30+1.47vs Predicted
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7Brown University0.75+2.63vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island0.53+2.24vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island0.82+0.48vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.08-0.12vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.14-6.43vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.18-4.68vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.18-1.45vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.43-7.14vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island0.12-2.94vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.51-8.77vs Predicted
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17Brown University0.41-5.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.25Tufts University1.085.8%1st Place
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9.19Brown University0.875.5%1st Place
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9.37U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.784.6%1st Place
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8.3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.075.9%1st Place
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10.54U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.493.0%1st Place
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7.47University of Rhode Island1.308.3%1st Place
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9.63Brown University0.754.3%1st Place
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10.24University of Rhode Island0.534.2%1st Place
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9.48University of Rhode Island0.824.7%1st Place
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9.88U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.083.9%1st Place
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4.57Brown University2.1416.4%1st Place
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7.32Tufts University1.187.9%1st Place
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11.55U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.182.9%1st Place
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6.86Tufts University1.438.9%1st Place
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12.06University of Rhode Island0.122.5%1st Place
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7.23Tufts University1.518.7%1st Place
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11.05Brown University0.412.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Keeves | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% |
| Savannah Young | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.2% |
| Joey Richardson | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% |
| David Vinogradov | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.9% |
| Ella Demand | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.3% |
| Christopher Chwalk | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Emery Diemar | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.3% |
| Cameron Silvers | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 9.2% |
| Owen Grainger | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.5% |
| Peter McGonagle | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.2% |
| Tyler Lamm | 16.4% | 17.1% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.2% |
| Meara Conley | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 16.7% |
| Jack Flores | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 20.0% |
| Clark Morris | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Gabby Collins | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 11.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.