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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stevens Institute of Technology2.75+2.21vs Predicted
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2Princeton University2.30+2.07vs Predicted
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3Washington College3.65-0.99vs Predicted
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5Monmouth University0.98+1.09vs Predicted
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6Drexel University1.75-1.20vs Predicted
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7Penn State University0.99-0.87vs Predicted
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8Villanova University1.80-3.15vs Predicted
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9Ocean County College1.73-4.07vs Predicted
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10University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.84-1.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.21Stevens Institute of Technology2.750.2%1st Place
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4.07Princeton University2.300.1%1st Place
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2.01Washington College3.650.4%1st Place
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6.09Monmouth University0.980.0%1st Place
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4.8Drexel University1.750.1%1st Place
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6.13Penn State University0.990.0%1st Place
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4.85Villanova University1.800.1%1st Place
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4.93Ocean County College1.730.1%1st Place
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8.91University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gerard Tonachel | 18.6% | 21.0% | 19.6% | 18.9% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Mary Gamber | 9.0% | 14.5% | 18.7% | 17.4% | 15.0% | 13.1% | 8.5% | 3.6% | 0.2% |
| Michael Whitford | 44.7% | 28.1% | 14.4% | 8.3% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paul Luisi | 3.0% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 11.8% | 14.8% | 18.7% | 32.8% | 0.9% |
| Joan Boyle | 6.9% | 10.3% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 14.8% | 16.1% | 14.1% | 10.5% | 0.7% |
| Rachel Bennung | 3.2% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 14.2% | 21.7% | 31.3% | 1.2% |
| Andrew Sayre | 6.9% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 18.5% | 17.2% | 16.1% | 8.1% | 0.3% |
| Zachary Schippe | 7.6% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 13.8% | 15.4% | 15.4% | 16.9% | 11.0% | 0.6% |
| Dennis Seuferling | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 96.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.