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📊 Prediction Accuracy
12.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
24
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley0.66+5.70vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley0.71+4.37vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles0.77+3.31vs Predicted
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4San Diego State University-0.01+5.38vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley0.25+3.23vs Predicted
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6California State University Monterey Bay-1.72+10.75vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego0.79-1.11vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles0.11+0.98vs Predicted
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9University of California at Davis-0.93+4.53vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis-0.72+2.41vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-1.07+2.90vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.00-2.73vs Predicted
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13Arizona State University0.59-6.14vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Cruz-1.15+0.73vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego0.01-5.39vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-0.97-2.47vs Predicted
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17Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02-7.46vs Predicted
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18University of California at Los Angeles-1.08-3.92vs Predicted
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19California State University Monterey Bay-1.72-2.25vs Predicted
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20California State University Monterey Bay-1.72-3.25vs Predicted
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21University of California at Davis-1.96-3.61vs Predicted
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22Arizona State University-2.39-3.17vs Predicted
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23Arizona State University-0.90-9.72vs Predicted
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24University of California at San Diego-1.96-6.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.7University of California at Berkeley0.660.1%1st Place
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6.37University of California at Berkeley0.710.1%1st Place
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6.31University of California at Los Angeles0.770.1%1st Place
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9.38San Diego State University-0.010.0%1st Place
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8.23University of California at Berkeley0.250.1%1st Place
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16.75California State University Monterey Bay-1.720.0%1st Place
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5.89University of California at San Diego0.790.1%1st Place
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8.98University of California at Los Angeles0.110.1%1st Place
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13.53University of California at Davis-0.930.0%1st Place
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12.41University of California at Davis-0.720.0%1st Place
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13.9University of California at San Diego-1.070.0%1st Place
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9.27Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.000.0%1st Place
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6.86Arizona State University0.590.1%1st Place
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14.73University of California at Santa Cruz-1.150.0%1st Place
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9.61University of California at San Diego0.010.0%1st Place
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13.53University of California at San Diego-0.970.0%1st Place
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9.54Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.0%1st Place
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14.08University of California at Los Angeles-1.080.0%1st Place
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16.75California State University Monterey Bay-1.720.0%1st Place
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16.75California State University Monterey Bay-1.720.0%1st Place
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17.39University of California at Davis-1.960.0%1st Place
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18.83Arizona State University-2.390.0%1st Place
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13.28Arizona State University-0.900.0%1st Place
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17.42University of California at San Diego-1.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Cornell | 8.5% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 10.5% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drew Wolf | 9.7% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Collignon | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael McCulloch | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sasha Wilson | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 13.3% | 12.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Reuter | 12.5% | 12.4% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zack Taylor | 7.7% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonah Brees | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Holden | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Lipps | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Groom | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Boylan | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noam Elroi | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 3.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Svenja Leonard | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Keller | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Florence Duff | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| tess McMullin | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sasha Wilson | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 13.3% | 12.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sasha Wilson | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 13.3% | 12.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cooper Cook | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 13.0% | 16.7% | 17.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Peters | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 12.1% | 16.6% | 35.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Powers | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Yasminna Sanchez | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 13.9% | 15.9% | 18.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.