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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
24
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley0.66+5.72vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley0.40+5.64vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles0.77+3.37vs Predicted
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4Arizona State University0.59+2.92vs Predicted
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5University of California at Davis-0.72+7.65vs Predicted
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6University of California at Davis-0.93+7.57vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego0.01+2.10vs Predicted
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8San Diego State University-0.01+1.54vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles0.11-0.19vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley0.71-3.64vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-1.07+2.99vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-0.97+1.78vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02-3.53vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.00-4.38vs Predicted
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15California State University Monterey Bay-1.72+1.96vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles-1.08-2.00vs Predicted
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17University of California at Davis-1.96+0.61vs Predicted
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18University of California at San Diego-1.96-0.54vs Predicted
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19Arizona State University-0.90-5.85vs Predicted
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20California State University Monterey Bay-1.72-3.04vs Predicted
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21Arizona State University-2.39-2.13vs Predicted
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22University of California at Santa Cruz-1.15-7.63vs Predicted
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23California State University Monterey Bay-1.72-6.04vs Predicted
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24University of California at San Diego0.79-17.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.72University of California at Berkeley0.660.1%1st Place
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7.64University of California at Berkeley0.400.1%1st Place
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6.37University of California at Los Angeles0.770.1%1st Place
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6.92Arizona State University0.590.1%1st Place
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12.65University of California at Davis-0.720.0%1st Place
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13.57University of California at Davis-0.930.0%1st Place
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9.1University of California at San Diego0.010.1%1st Place
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9.54San Diego State University-0.010.1%1st Place
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8.81University of California at Los Angeles0.110.1%1st Place
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6.36University of California at Berkeley0.710.1%1st Place
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13.99University of California at San Diego-1.070.0%1st Place
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13.78University of California at San Diego-0.970.0%1st Place
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9.47Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.1%1st Place
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9.62Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.000.1%1st Place
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16.96California State University Monterey Bay-1.720.0%1st Place
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14.0University of California at Los Angeles-1.080.0%1st Place
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17.61University of California at Davis-1.960.0%1st Place
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17.46University of California at San Diego-1.960.0%1st Place
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13.15Arizona State University-0.900.0%1st Place
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16.96California State University Monterey Bay-1.720.0%1st Place
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18.87Arizona State University-2.390.0%1st Place
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14.37University of California at Santa Cruz-1.150.0%1st Place
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16.96California State University Monterey Bay-1.720.0%1st Place
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6.04University of California at San Diego0.790.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Cornell | 9.4% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Olsen | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drew Wolf | 9.3% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Boylan | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Holden | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonah Brees | 2.6% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Svenja Leonard | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Collignon | 6.2% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zack Taylor | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 9.5% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Lipps | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 2.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Keller | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Florence Duff | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Groom | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sasha Wilson | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 16.1% | 14.5% | 11.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| tess McMullin | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cooper Cook | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 17.0% | 19.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Yasminna Sanchez | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 12.0% | 17.7% | 17.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Powers | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sasha Wilson | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 16.1% | 14.5% | 11.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Peters | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 17.4% | 36.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noam Elroi | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sasha Wilson | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 16.1% | 14.5% | 11.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Reuter | 10.1% | 12.6% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.