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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
24
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley0.71+5.49vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego0.01+7.32vs Predicted
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3San Diego State University-0.01+6.65vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-0.97+9.75vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley0.40+2.69vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley0.66+0.62vs Predicted
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7Arizona State University-0.90+6.16vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles0.77-1.64vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-1.07+5.09vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02-0.72vs Predicted
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11California State University Monterey Bay-1.72+5.52vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego0.79-5.91vs Predicted
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13University of California at Davis-0.72-0.31vs Predicted
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14California State University Monterey Bay-1.72+2.52vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.00-5.36vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Cruz-1.15-1.24vs Predicted
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17University of California at Los Angeles-1.08-3.03vs Predicted
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18University of California at Los Angeles0.11-9.00vs Predicted
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19Arizona State University0.59-12.21vs Predicted
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20University of California at Davis-1.96-2.60vs Predicted
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21Arizona State University-2.39-2.11vs Predicted
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22California State University Monterey Bay-1.72-5.48vs Predicted
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23University of California at San Diego-1.96-5.56vs Predicted
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24University of California at Davis-0.93-10.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.49University of California at Berkeley0.710.1%1st Place
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9.32University of California at San Diego0.010.1%1st Place
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9.65San Diego State University-0.010.0%1st Place
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13.75University of California at San Diego-0.970.0%1st Place
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7.69University of California at Berkeley0.400.1%1st Place
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6.62University of California at Berkeley0.660.1%1st Place
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13.16Arizona State University-0.900.0%1st Place
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6.36University of California at Los Angeles0.770.1%1st Place
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14.09University of California at San Diego-1.070.0%1st Place
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9.28Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.0%1st Place
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16.52California State University Monterey Bay-1.720.0%1st Place
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6.09University of California at San Diego0.790.1%1st Place
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12.69University of California at Davis-0.720.0%1st Place
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16.52California State University Monterey Bay-1.720.0%1st Place
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9.64Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.000.0%1st Place
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14.76University of California at Santa Cruz-1.150.0%1st Place
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13.97University of California at Los Angeles-1.080.0%1st Place
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9.0University of California at Los Angeles0.110.1%1st Place
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6.79Arizona State University0.590.1%1st Place
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17.4University of California at Davis-1.960.0%1st Place
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18.89Arizona State University-2.390.0%1st Place
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16.52California State University Monterey Bay-1.720.0%1st Place
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17.44University of California at San Diego-1.960.0%1st Place
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13.41University of California at Davis-0.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate Ingebritson | 11.2% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Svenja Leonard | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Collignon | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Keller | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Olsen | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Cornell | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Powers | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drew Wolf | 11.8% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Lipps | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Florence Duff | 3.9% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sasha Wilson | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 14.0% | 10.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Reuter | 9.5% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Holden | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sasha Wilson | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 14.0% | 10.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Groom | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noam Elroi | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| tess McMullin | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zack Taylor | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Boylan | 9.9% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cooper Cook | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 13.2% | 16.8% | 16.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Peters | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 18.5% | 36.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sasha Wilson | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 14.0% | 10.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Yasminna Sanchez | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 17.1% | 20.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonah Brees | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.