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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
24
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California State University Monterey Bay-1.72+16.14vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley0.66+4.74vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles0.77+3.50vs Predicted
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4University of California at Davis-0.72+8.98vs Predicted
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5San Diego State University-0.01+4.64vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego0.01+3.51vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.40+0.61vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego0.79-1.58vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02+0.60vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz-1.15+4.68vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.00-1.65vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley0.71-5.57vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles-1.08+1.54vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles0.11-4.59vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-1.13+0.01vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-1.07-1.70vs Predicted
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17Arizona State University-1.71+0.17vs Predicted
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18University of California at Davis-0.93-4.30vs Predicted
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19Arizona State University0.59-12.17vs Predicted
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20University of California at Davis-1.96-2.08vs Predicted
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21University of California at San Diego-0.97-7.10vs Predicted
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22Arizona State University-0.90-8.39vs Predicted
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23California State University Monterey Bay-1.72-5.86vs Predicted
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24California State University Monterey Bay-1.72-6.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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17.14California State University Monterey Bay-1.720.0%1st Place
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6.74University of California at Berkeley0.660.1%1st Place
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6.5University of California at Los Angeles0.770.1%1st Place
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12.98University of California at Davis-0.720.0%1st Place
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9.64San Diego State University-0.010.1%1st Place
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9.51University of California at San Diego0.010.0%1st Place
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7.61University of California at Berkeley0.400.1%1st Place
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6.42University of California at San Diego0.790.1%1st Place
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9.6Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.0%1st Place
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14.68University of California at Santa Cruz-1.150.0%1st Place
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9.35Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.000.1%1st Place
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6.43University of California at Berkeley0.710.1%1st Place
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14.54University of California at Los Angeles-1.080.0%1st Place
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9.41University of California at Los Angeles0.110.1%1st Place
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15.01University of California at San Diego-1.130.0%1st Place
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14.3University of California at San Diego-1.070.0%1st Place
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17.17Arizona State University-1.710.0%1st Place
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13.7University of California at Davis-0.930.0%1st Place
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6.83Arizona State University0.590.1%1st Place
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17.92University of California at Davis-1.960.0%1st Place
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13.9University of California at San Diego-0.970.0%1st Place
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13.61Arizona State University-0.900.0%1st Place
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17.14California State University Monterey Bay-1.720.0%1st Place
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17.14California State University Monterey Bay-1.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sasha Wilson | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 16.3% | 18.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Cornell | 10.3% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drew Wolf | 9.9% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Holden | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Collignon | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Svenja Leonard | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Olsen | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Reuter | 11.1% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Florence Duff | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noam Elroi | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Groom | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 8.2% | 12.5% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| tess McMullin | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zack Taylor | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 5.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Lipps | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Calum Merry | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 14.2% | 19.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonah Brees | 2.7% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Boylan | 8.8% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cooper Cook | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 16.9% | 27.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Keller | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Powers | 1.4% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sasha Wilson | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 16.3% | 18.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sasha Wilson | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 16.3% | 18.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.