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📊 Prediction Accuracy
12.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
24
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Davis-0.72+11.96vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley0.66+4.75vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego-0.97+11.28vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley0.40+3.81vs Predicted
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5San Diego State University-0.01+4.62vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego0.01+3.58vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.71-0.59vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles0.77-1.56vs Predicted
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9California State University Monterey Bay-1.72+8.07vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego0.79-3.86vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-1.07+3.22vs Predicted
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12Arizona State University0.59-5.06vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02-3.37vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles0.11-4.66vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles-1.08-0.12vs Predicted
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16Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.00-6.59vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Cruz-1.15-2.10vs Predicted
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18Arizona State University-0.90-4.36vs Predicted
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19University of California at Davis-0.93-5.40vs Predicted
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20California State University Monterey Bay-1.72-2.93vs Predicted
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21Arizona State University-1.71-3.87vs Predicted
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22University of California at Davis-1.96-4.27vs Predicted
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23University of California at San Diego-1.13-8.48vs Predicted
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24California State University Monterey Bay-1.72-6.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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12.96University of California at Davis-0.720.0%1st Place
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6.75University of California at Berkeley0.660.1%1st Place
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14.28University of California at San Diego-0.970.0%1st Place
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7.81University of California at Berkeley0.400.1%1st Place
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9.62San Diego State University-0.010.1%1st Place
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9.58University of California at San Diego0.010.1%1st Place
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6.41University of California at Berkeley0.710.1%1st Place
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6.44University of California at Los Angeles0.770.1%1st Place
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17.07California State University Monterey Bay-1.720.0%1st Place
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6.14University of California at San Diego0.790.1%1st Place
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14.22University of California at San Diego-1.070.0%1st Place
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6.94Arizona State University0.590.1%1st Place
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9.63Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.1%1st Place
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9.34University of California at Los Angeles0.110.1%1st Place
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14.88University of California at Los Angeles-1.080.0%1st Place
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9.41Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.000.1%1st Place
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14.9University of California at Santa Cruz-1.150.0%1st Place
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13.64Arizona State University-0.900.0%1st Place
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13.6University of California at Davis-0.930.0%1st Place
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17.07California State University Monterey Bay-1.720.0%1st Place
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17.13Arizona State University-1.710.0%1st Place
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17.73University of California at Davis-1.960.0%1st Place
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14.52University of California at San Diego-1.130.0%1st Place
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17.07California State University Monterey Bay-1.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathaniel Holden | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Cornell | 10.3% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Keller | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Olsen | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Collignon | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Svenja Leonard | 5.1% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 11.0% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drew Wolf | 11.7% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sasha Wilson | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 16.4% | 17.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Reuter | 10.6% | 12.4% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Lipps | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Boylan | 7.0% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Florence Duff | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zack Taylor | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| tess McMullin | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Groom | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noam Elroi | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Powers | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonah Brees | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sasha Wilson | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 16.4% | 17.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Calum Merry | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 12.2% | 14.9% | 18.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cooper Cook | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 15.4% | 28.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sasha Wilson | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 16.4% | 17.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.