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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
24
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley0.07+4.56vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego0.20+3.03vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego-0.07+3.15vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-0.58+3.81vs Predicted
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5University of California at Davis-0.43+2.28vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles-0.25+0.58vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles-0.28-0.50vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.09+6.16vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-2.32+6.02vs Predicted
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10California State University Monterey Bay-1.70+2.39vs Predicted
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11University of California at Davis-2.79+5.58vs Predicted
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12California State University Monterey Bay-1.70+0.39vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles-2.04+0.93vs Predicted
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14Arizona State University-2.47+1.57vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Cruz-1.61-2.61vs Predicted
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16University of California at Berkeley-1.23-5.19vs Predicted
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17San Diego State University-1.80-4.22vs Predicted
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18Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.35-2.79vs Predicted
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19Arizona State University-0.75-10.56vs Predicted
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20University of California at Berkeley-0.55-12.48vs Predicted
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21California State University Monterey Bay-1.70-8.61vs Predicted
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22University of California at San Diego-2.02-8.10vs Predicted
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23University of California at Davis-4.09-3.04vs Predicted
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24Arizona State University-3.81-4.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.56University of California at Berkeley0.070.1%1st Place
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5.03University of California at San Diego0.200.1%1st Place
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6.15University of California at San Diego-0.070.1%1st Place
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7.81University of California at San Diego-0.580.1%1st Place
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7.28University of California at Davis-0.430.1%1st Place
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6.58University of California at Los Angeles-0.250.1%1st Place
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6.5University of California at Los Angeles-0.280.1%1st Place
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14.16Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.090.0%1st Place
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15.02University of California at San Diego-2.320.0%1st Place
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12.39California State University Monterey Bay-1.700.0%1st Place
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16.58University of California at Davis-2.790.0%1st Place
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12.39California State University Monterey Bay-1.700.0%1st Place
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13.93University of California at Los Angeles-2.040.0%1st Place
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15.57Arizona State University-2.470.0%1st Place
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12.39University of California at Santa Cruz-1.610.0%1st Place
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10.81University of California at Berkeley-1.230.0%1st Place
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12.78San Diego State University-1.800.0%1st Place
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15.21Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.350.0%1st Place
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8.44Arizona State University-0.750.1%1st Place
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7.52University of California at Berkeley-0.550.1%1st Place
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12.39California State University Monterey Bay-1.700.0%1st Place
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13.9University of California at San Diego-2.020.0%1st Place
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19.96University of California at Davis-4.090.0%1st Place
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19.43Arizona State University-3.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enzo Cremers | 11.6% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Alexander | 15.0% | 14.5% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vivin Vinil | 10.2% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tobie Bloom | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Braedon Hansen | 7.2% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Linnea Jackson | 8.9% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Spector | 10.0% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adriana Yarkin | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Nodini | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 6.3% | 2.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Graves | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Lewald | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 14.7% | 14.0% | 5.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Graves | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Milan | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Childress | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 3.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Priyah Koren | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Lawall | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tegan Smith | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Quick | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 7.7% | 2.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adrien Stroumza | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Graves | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 3.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| cecilia rothman-salado | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 8.8% | 17.8% | 49.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Corbin Stanley | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 26.1% | 34.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.