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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.07+0.87vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University0.59+1.62vs Predicted
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3University of North Carolina0.22+0.96vs Predicted
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4Clemson University0.73-0.84vs Predicted
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5Duke University0.06-0.64vs Predicted
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6The Citadel0.33-1.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.87College of Charleston2.0748.1%1st Place
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3.62North Carolina State University0.5911.2%1st Place
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3.96University of North Carolina0.229.2%1st Place
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3.16Clemson University0.7316.8%1st Place
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4.36Duke University0.065.8%1st Place
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4.03The Citadel0.338.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonnie Ciffolillo | 48.1% | 28.1% | 15.4% | 5.8% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| William Wheary | 11.2% | 16.1% | 19.4% | 20.2% | 18.9% | 14.2% |
| Noah Jost | 9.2% | 12.8% | 15.7% | 18.6% | 22.1% | 21.6% |
| Nilah Miller | 16.8% | 20.5% | 20.9% | 20.6% | 13.7% | 7.4% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 5.8% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 16.2% | 22.6% | 32.1% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 8.9% | 11.9% | 15.8% | 18.4% | 20.4% | 24.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.