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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
24
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at San Diego-0.07+4.73vs Predicted
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2University of California at Davis-0.43+4.91vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego0.20+1.94vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley0.07+1.27vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles-0.25+1.37vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-0.58+1.50vs Predicted
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7Arizona State University-0.75+0.95vs Predicted
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8California State University Monterey Bay-1.70+4.06vs Predicted
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9San Diego State University-1.80+3.41vs Predicted
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10California State University Monterey Bay-1.70+2.06vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles-0.28-4.69vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.35+2.46vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-2.02+0.41vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Cruz-1.61-2.39vs Predicted
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15University of California at Berkeley-0.90-5.97vs Predicted
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16Arizona State University-3.81+3.39vs Predicted
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17Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.09-3.50vs Predicted
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18University of California at Davis-2.79-1.62vs Predicted
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19University of California at San Diego-2.32-4.54vs Predicted
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20University of California at Los Angeles-2.04-6.83vs Predicted
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21California State University Monterey Bay-1.70-8.94vs Predicted
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22Arizona State University-2.47-6.81vs Predicted
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23University of California at Berkeley-3.11-5.79vs Predicted
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24University of California at Davis-4.09-4.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.73University of California at San Diego-0.070.1%1st Place
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6.91University of California at Davis-0.430.1%1st Place
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4.94University of California at San Diego0.200.1%1st Place
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5.27University of California at Berkeley0.070.1%1st Place
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6.37University of California at Los Angeles-0.250.1%1st Place
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7.5University of California at San Diego-0.580.1%1st Place
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7.95Arizona State University-0.750.1%1st Place
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12.06California State University Monterey Bay-1.700.0%1st Place
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12.41San Diego State University-1.800.0%1st Place
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12.06California State University Monterey Bay-1.700.0%1st Place
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6.31University of California at Los Angeles-0.280.1%1st Place
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14.46Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.350.0%1st Place
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13.41University of California at San Diego-2.020.0%1st Place
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11.61University of California at Santa Cruz-1.610.0%1st Place
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9.03University of California at Berkeley-0.900.1%1st Place
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19.39Arizona State University-3.810.0%1st Place
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13.5Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.090.0%1st Place
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16.38University of California at Davis-2.790.0%1st Place
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14.46University of California at San Diego-2.320.0%1st Place
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13.17University of California at Los Angeles-2.040.0%1st Place
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12.06California State University Monterey Bay-1.700.0%1st Place
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15.19Arizona State University-2.470.0%1st Place
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17.21University of California at Berkeley-3.110.0%1st Place
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19.75University of California at Davis-4.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vivin Vinil | 11.3% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Braedon Hansen | 8.1% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Alexander | 13.5% | 14.4% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Enzo Cremers | 12.3% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Linnea Jackson | 10.3% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tobie Bloom | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Graves | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tegan Smith | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Graves | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Spector | 8.8% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Quick | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Priyah Koren | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aivan Durfee | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Corbin Stanley | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 12.1% | 25.7% | 32.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adriana Yarkin | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Lewald | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 16.1% | 10.1% | 5.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Nodini | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Milan | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Graves | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Childress | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Cornet | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 14.2% | 17.5% | 10.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| cecilia rothman-salado | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 19.4% | 42.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.