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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
24
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at San Diego0.20+4.09vs Predicted
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2California State University Monterey Bay-1.70+10.51vs Predicted
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3University of California at Davis-0.43+4.47vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley-1.23+6.55vs Predicted
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5Arizona State University-0.75+3.53vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles-0.28+0.72vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-0.07-1.20vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley0.07-2.38vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-0.58-1.19vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles-0.25-3.53vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-2.32+3.83vs Predicted
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12University of California at Davis-2.79+4.76vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.35+2.07vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-2.02+0.04vs Predicted
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15California State University Monterey Bay-1.70-2.49vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles-2.04-1.81vs Predicted
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17Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.09-3.05vs Predicted
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18University of California at Santa Cruz-1.61-5.73vs Predicted
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19University of California at Berkeley-0.55-11.32vs Predicted
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20California State University Monterey Bay-1.70-7.49vs Predicted
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21San Diego State University-1.80-8.33vs Predicted
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22Arizona State University-2.47-6.38vs Predicted
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23University of California at Davis-4.09-3.09vs Predicted
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24Arizona State University-3.81-4.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.09University of California at San Diego0.200.1%1st Place
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12.51California State University Monterey Bay-1.700.0%1st Place
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7.47University of California at Davis-0.430.1%1st Place
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10.55University of California at Berkeley-1.230.0%1st Place
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8.53Arizona State University-0.750.1%1st Place
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6.72University of California at Los Angeles-0.280.1%1st Place
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5.8University of California at San Diego-0.070.1%1st Place
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5.62University of California at Berkeley0.070.1%1st Place
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7.81University of California at San Diego-0.580.1%1st Place
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6.47University of California at Los Angeles-0.250.1%1st Place
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14.83University of California at San Diego-2.320.0%1st Place
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16.76University of California at Davis-2.790.0%1st Place
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15.07Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.350.0%1st Place
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14.04University of California at San Diego-2.020.0%1st Place
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12.51California State University Monterey Bay-1.700.0%1st Place
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14.19University of California at Los Angeles-2.040.0%1st Place
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13.95Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.090.0%1st Place
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12.27University of California at Santa Cruz-1.610.0%1st Place
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7.68University of California at Berkeley-0.550.1%1st Place
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12.51California State University Monterey Bay-1.700.0%1st Place
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12.67San Diego State University-1.800.0%1st Place
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15.62Arizona State University-2.470.0%1st Place
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19.91University of California at Davis-4.090.0%1st Place
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19.43Arizona State University-3.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Alexander | 14.9% | 13.4% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Graves | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Braedon Hansen | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Lawall | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Spector | 8.3% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vivin Vinil | 12.5% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Enzo Cremers | 12.7% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tobie Bloom | 5.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Linnea Jackson | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Nodini | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Lewald | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 12.3% | 14.6% | 15.6% | 4.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Quick | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 6.9% | 2.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Graves | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Milan | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adriana Yarkin | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Priyah Koren | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adrien Stroumza | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Graves | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tegan Smith | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Childress | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 9.2% | 3.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| cecilia rothman-salado | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 18.6% | 48.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Corbin Stanley | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 10.2% | 26.7% | 33.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.