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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
24
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.97+1.78vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05+5.93vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.95+2.09vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego1.45+2.67vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara1.63+0.89vs Predicted
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6San Diego State University1.54+0.40vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara1.82-1.55vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-0.10+4.31vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-0.64+5.18vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles0.09+1.46vs Predicted
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11University of California at Irvine-1.02+5.09vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles1.30-4.98vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Cruz-1.34+4.45vs Predicted
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14University of California at Berkeley-0.24-1.28vs Predicted
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15University of California at Berkeley0.73-5.86vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Cruz-1.05+0.08vs Predicted
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17Arizona State University-1.77+1.70vs Predicted
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18California State University Monterey Bay-0.62-3.59vs Predicted
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19Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.74-0.63vs Predicted
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20Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.30-3.12vs Predicted
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21California State University Channel Islands-1.81-1.91vs Predicted
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22University of California at Los Angeles-1.95-2.53vs Predicted
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23California State University Channel Islands-1.45-5.40vs Predicted
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24University of California at Davis-1.76-5.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.78University of Southern California2.970.3%1st Place
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7.93Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.0%1st Place
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5.09University of California at Santa Barbara1.950.1%1st Place
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6.67University of California at San Diego1.450.1%1st Place
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5.89University of California at Santa Barbara1.630.1%1st Place
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6.4San Diego State University1.540.1%1st Place
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5.45University of California at Santa Barbara1.820.1%1st Place
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12.31University of California at San Diego-0.100.0%1st Place
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14.18University of California at San Diego-0.640.0%1st Place
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11.46University of California at Los Angeles0.090.0%1st Place
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16.09University of California at Irvine-1.020.0%1st Place
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7.02University of California at Los Angeles1.300.1%1st Place
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17.45University of California at Santa Cruz-1.340.0%1st Place
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12.72University of California at Berkeley-0.240.0%1st Place
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9.14University of California at Berkeley0.730.0%1st Place
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16.08University of California at Santa Cruz-1.050.0%1st Place
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18.7Arizona State University-1.770.0%1st Place
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14.41California State University Monterey Bay-0.620.0%1st Place
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18.37Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.740.0%1st Place
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16.88Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.300.0%1st Place
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19.09California State University Channel Islands-1.810.0%1st Place
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19.47University of California at Los Angeles-1.950.0%1st Place
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17.6California State University Channel Islands-1.450.0%1st Place
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18.85University of California at Davis-1.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Hou | 32.6% | 21.3% | 16.5% | 13.4% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 3.8% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jake Zieba | 11.5% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 6.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Schuyler Capita | 8.4% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Buckner | 6.9% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lukas Kraak | 9.6% | 12.5% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Bastuba | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Amanda Brooks | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Ian Marshall | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| LeeAnn Burrows | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 2.7% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Savannah Hallgarth | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 11.2% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 5.1% |
| Luc LaMontagne | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tristan Bellevin | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 2.6% |
| Antoine Kepczyk | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 15.7% |
| Caila Devlin | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Jeffrey Romeo | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 13.3% |
| Jack Kelly | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% |
| Olivia Feito | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 14.5% |
| Deven Douglas | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 14.5% | 18.2% |
| Kaylena Mann | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 7.9% |
| Grace Chitouras | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 13.7% | 13.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.