← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
24
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Southern California2.97+1.77vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Santa Barbara1.82+3.53vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Santa Barbara1.95+2.12vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Santa Cruz-1.34+13.58vs Predicted
-
5San Diego State University1.54+1.34vs Predicted
-
6University of California at San Diego1.45+0.73vs Predicted
-
7Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05+0.92vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Berkeley-0.24+5.00vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Berkeley0.73-0.09vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Los Angeles0.09+1.59vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Santa Barbara1.63-4.83vs Predicted
-
12University of California at San Diego-0.10+0.39vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Los Angeles1.30-5.77vs Predicted
-
14University of California at Irvine-0.39-0.55vs Predicted
-
15California State University Channel Islands-1.45+2.95vs Predicted
-
16California State University Monterey Bay-0.62-1.42vs Predicted
-
17University of California at Santa Cruz-1.05-0.84vs Predicted
-
18California State University Channel Islands-1.81+1.03vs Predicted
-
19Arizona State University-1.77-0.45vs Predicted
-
20Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.74-1.31vs Predicted
-
21Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.30-3.62vs Predicted
-
22University of California at San Diego-0.64-7.41vs Predicted
-
23University of California at Davis-1.76-4.24vs Predicted
-
24University of California at Los Angeles-1.95-4.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.77University of Southern California2.970.3%1st Place
-
5.53University of California at Santa Barbara1.820.1%1st Place
-
5.12University of California at Santa Barbara1.950.1%1st Place
-
17.58University of California at Santa Cruz-1.340.0%1st Place
-
6.34San Diego State University1.540.1%1st Place
-
6.73University of California at San Diego1.450.1%1st Place
-
7.92Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.0%1st Place
-
13.0University of California at Berkeley-0.240.0%1st Place
-
8.91University of California at Berkeley0.730.0%1st Place
-
11.59University of California at Los Angeles0.090.0%1st Place
-
6.17University of California at Santa Barbara1.630.1%1st Place
-
12.39University of California at San Diego-0.100.0%1st Place
-
7.23University of California at Los Angeles1.300.1%1st Place
-
13.45University of California at Irvine-0.390.0%1st Place
-
17.95California State University Channel Islands-1.450.0%1st Place
-
14.58California State University Monterey Bay-0.620.0%1st Place
-
16.16University of California at Santa Cruz-1.050.0%1st Place
-
19.03California State University Channel Islands-1.810.0%1st Place
-
18.55Arizona State University-1.770.0%1st Place
-
18.69Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.740.0%1st Place
-
17.38Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.300.0%1st Place
-
14.59University of California at San Diego-0.640.0%1st Place
-
18.76University of California at Davis-1.760.0%1st Place
-
19.59University of California at Los Angeles-1.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Hou | 30.7% | 24.8% | 17.3% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lukas Kraak | 9.4% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jake Zieba | 9.9% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 12.6% | 14.0% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Savannah Hallgarth | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 5.8% |
| Blake Buckner | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 4.9% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luc LaMontagne | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Marshall | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Schuyler Capita | 9.3% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Bastuba | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amir Tadros | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Kaylena Mann | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 7.1% |
| Caila Devlin | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Tristan Bellevin | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.5% |
| Olivia Feito | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 11.5% | 13.2% | 15.7% |
| Antoine Kepczyk | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 12.7% |
| Jeffrey Romeo | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 13.9% |
| Jack Kelly | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 5.8% |
| Amanda Brooks | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Grace Chitouras | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 11.9% | 13.9% | 13.0% |
| Deven Douglas | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 21.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.