Race 4A

maisa-central-spring-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Michael Whitford 45.4% 26.1% 15.0% 8.7% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Paul Luisi 2.0% 2.6% 5.2% 7.2% 10.7% 14.1% 22.0% 34.6% 1.6%
Andrew Sayre 6.3% 9.6% 11.2% 15.2% 15.4% 17.2% 16.3% 8.5% 0.3%
Mary Gamber 11.6% 16.3% 19.4% 16.4% 14.2% 11.9% 7.7% 2.5% 0.0%
Joan Boyle 6.7% 11.7% 11.5% 14.8% 14.7% 14.7% 15.7% 9.6% 0.6%
Zachary Schippe 6.4% 8.4% 11.1% 14.4% 17.5% 17.3% 15.2% 9.4% 0.3%
Gerard Tonachel 18.2% 21.2% 20.6% 15.6% 13.7% 7.4% 2.4% 0.9% 0.0%
Rachel Bennung 3.3% 4.1% 5.8% 7.4% 10.3% 15.8% 19.2% 32.8% 1.3%
Dennis Seuferling 0.1% 0.0% 0.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.5% 1.2% 1.7% 95.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.