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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Clemson University0.73+2.15vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University0.59+1.71vs Predicted
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3University of North Carolina0.22+0.97vs Predicted
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4The Citadel0.33-0.06vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston2.07-3.17vs Predicted
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6Duke University0.06-1.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.15Clemson University0.7316.2%1st Place
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3.71North Carolina State University0.599.7%1st Place
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3.97University of North Carolina0.228.9%1st Place
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3.94The Citadel0.338.8%1st Place
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1.83College of Charleston2.0750.0%1st Place
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4.38Duke University0.066.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nilah Miller | 16.2% | 22.3% | 20.5% | 19.1% | 14.4% | 7.3% |
| William Wheary | 9.7% | 15.8% | 20.2% | 17.9% | 20.7% | 15.7% |
| Noah Jost | 8.9% | 12.7% | 15.6% | 19.4% | 21.9% | 21.5% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 8.8% | 12.8% | 16.8% | 20.0% | 19.7% | 21.9% |
| Jonnie Ciffolillo | 50.0% | 27.6% | 14.0% | 6.5% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 6.5% | 8.8% | 12.9% | 17.1% | 21.5% | 33.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.