← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Santa Barbara1.82+5.14vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Santa Barbara1.63+4.99vs Predicted
-
3Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05+6.09vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Santa Barbara1.95+1.90vs Predicted
-
5University of California at San Diego1.45+2.71vs Predicted
-
6San Diego State University1.54+1.36vs Predicted
-
7California Poly Maritime Academy2.08-1.39vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Los Angeles0.09+4.92vs Predicted
-
9University of California at San Diego-0.64+6.54vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Los Angeles1.30-1.74vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Berkeley-0.24+3.13vs Predicted
-
12University of California at San Diego-0.10+1.71vs Predicted
-
13California Poly Maritime Academy1.43-5.31vs Predicted
-
14University of California at Berkeley0.73-3.79vs Predicted
-
15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.74+4.41vs Predicted
-
16California State University Monterey Bay-0.62-0.56vs Predicted
-
17California State University Channel Islands-1.81+2.85vs Predicted
-
18University of Southern California2.97-14.79vs Predicted
-
19California State University Channel Islands-1.45-0.78vs Predicted
-
20University of California at Santa Cruz-1.34-1.59vs Predicted
-
21University of California at Los Angeles-1.95-0.42vs Predicted
-
22Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.30-4.06vs Predicted
-
23University of California at Davis-1.76-3.33vs Predicted
-
24University of California at Santa Cruz-1.05-6.83vs Predicted
-
25Arizona State University-3.64-1.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.14University of California at Santa Barbara1.820.1%1st Place
-
6.99University of California at Santa Barbara1.630.1%1st Place
-
9.09Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.0%1st Place
-
5.9University of California at Santa Barbara1.950.1%1st Place
-
7.71University of California at San Diego1.450.1%1st Place
-
7.36San Diego State University1.540.1%1st Place
-
5.61California Poly Maritime Academy2.080.1%1st Place
-
12.92University of California at Los Angeles0.090.0%1st Place
-
15.54University of California at San Diego-0.640.0%1st Place
-
8.26University of California at Los Angeles1.300.0%1st Place
-
14.13University of California at Berkeley-0.240.0%1st Place
-
13.71University of California at San Diego-0.100.0%1st Place
-
7.69California Poly Maritime Academy1.430.1%1st Place
-
10.21University of California at Berkeley0.730.0%1st Place
-
19.41Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.740.0%1st Place
-
15.44California State University Monterey Bay-0.620.0%1st Place
-
19.85California State University Channel Islands-1.810.0%1st Place
-
3.21University of Southern California2.970.3%1st Place
-
18.22California State University Channel Islands-1.450.0%1st Place
-
18.41University of California at Santa Cruz-1.340.0%1st Place
-
20.58University of California at Los Angeles-1.950.0%1st Place
-
17.94Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.300.0%1st Place
-
19.67University of California at Davis-1.760.0%1st Place
-
17.17University of California at Santa Cruz-1.050.0%1st Place
-
23.82Arizona State University-3.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lukas Kraak | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Schuyler Capita | 6.0% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jake Zieba | 10.4% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Buckner | 6.0% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Fisker-Andersen | 10.4% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Marshall | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Brooks | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luc LaMontagne | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Bastuba | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clay Myers | 6.1% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Romeo | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 13.0% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 4.5% |
| Caila Devlin | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Feito | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 13.7% | 16.6% | 6.1% |
| Joseph Hou | 26.5% | 20.5% | 16.3% | 12.9% | 9.5% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kaylena Mann | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 2.4% |
| Savannah Hallgarth | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 6.5% | 1.9% |
| Deven Douglas | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 21.3% | 8.6% |
| Jack Kelly | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 1.7% |
| Grace Chitouras | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 13.6% | 13.3% | 5.3% |
| Tristan Bellevin | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| Ciara Harding | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 11.1% | 68.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.