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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island0.93+1.79vs Predicted
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2Boston University0.15+2.01vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire-0.93+2.81vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University0.70-0.85vs Predicted
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5Harvard University0.45-1.44vs Predicted
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6Bentley University-1.10+0.57vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut-0.80-1.03vs Predicted
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8Sacred Heart University-2.06-0.26vs Predicted
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9Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.36-3.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.79University of Rhode Island0.9327.6%1st Place
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4.01Boston University0.1513.4%1st Place
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5.81University of New Hampshire-0.935.3%1st Place
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3.15Northeastern University0.7020.8%1st Place
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3.56Harvard University0.4516.8%1st Place
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6.57Bentley University-1.103.7%1st Place
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5.97University of Connecticut-0.805.1%1st Place
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7.74Sacred Heart University-2.061.4%1st Place
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5.4Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.365.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leonardo Burnham | 27.6% | 22.7% | 19.1% | 14.8% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Matteo Asscher | 13.4% | 13.5% | 15.6% | 16.4% | 16.3% | 12.2% | 7.8% | 4.2% | 0.5% |
| Lucas Wiatrowski | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 11.8% | 16.2% | 17.9% | 17.8% | 9.6% |
| Jeremy Bullock | 20.8% | 21.3% | 18.9% | 16.0% | 11.5% | 7.6% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Theresa Straw | 16.8% | 17.9% | 17.5% | 16.7% | 13.9% | 9.6% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Wilfred Hynes | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 18.6% | 24.5% | 18.6% |
| Ryan Treat | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 15.8% | 18.6% | 19.6% | 10.6% |
| Will Sugerman | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 16.4% | 54.1% |
| Owen Peterson | 5.8% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 13.4% | 15.3% | 17.5% | 13.9% | 6.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.