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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington College3.65+1.00vs Predicted
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2Princeton University2.30+2.12vs Predicted
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4Monmouth University0.98+2.23vs Predicted
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5Villanova University1.80-0.27vs Predicted
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6Penn State University0.99+0.03vs Predicted
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7Stevens Institute of Technology2.75-3.86vs Predicted
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8Ocean County College1.73-3.02vs Predicted
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9Drexel University1.75-4.11vs Predicted
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10University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.84-1.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.0Washington College3.650.4%1st Place
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4.12Princeton University2.300.1%1st Place
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6.23Monmouth University0.980.0%1st Place
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4.73Villanova University1.800.1%1st Place
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6.03Penn State University0.990.0%1st Place
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3.14Stevens Institute of Technology2.750.2%1st Place
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4.98Ocean County College1.730.1%1st Place
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4.89Drexel University1.750.1%1st Place
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8.89University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Whitford | 44.6% | 28.8% | 15.0% | 7.4% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mary Gamber | 8.5% | 14.9% | 16.7% | 17.2% | 17.9% | 12.4% | 8.9% | 3.3% | 0.2% |
| Paul Luisi | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 10.7% | 14.1% | 19.6% | 34.7% | 1.7% |
| Andrew Sayre | 8.1% | 7.3% | 13.3% | 16.5% | 15.6% | 16.3% | 15.0% | 7.7% | 0.2% |
| Rachel Bennung | 3.5% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 21.0% | 30.2% | 2.0% |
| Gerard Tonachel | 18.2% | 24.5% | 19.9% | 15.3% | 11.6% | 6.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Schippe | 6.9% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 14.8% | 15.8% | 18.3% | 15.5% | 11.1% | 0.1% |
| Joan Boyle | 7.2% | 8.3% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 14.8% | 17.9% | 16.2% | 9.7% | 0.5% |
| Dennis Seuferling | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 95.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.