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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.07+0.88vs Predicted
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2Clemson University0.73+1.18vs Predicted
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3University of North Carolina0.22+1.00vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University0.59-0.36vs Predicted
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5The Citadel0.33-1.05vs Predicted
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6Duke University0.06-1.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.88College of Charleston2.0747.6%1st Place
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3.18Clemson University0.7317.1%1st Place
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4.0University of North Carolina0.228.8%1st Place
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3.64North Carolina State University0.5910.7%1st Place
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3.95The Citadel0.339.6%1st Place
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4.36Duke University0.066.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonnie Ciffolillo | 47.6% | 28.5% | 15.9% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Nilah Miller | 17.1% | 20.5% | 21.1% | 18.4% | 15.0% | 8.0% |
| Noah Jost | 8.8% | 11.9% | 16.4% | 18.6% | 22.3% | 21.9% |
| William Wheary | 10.7% | 16.0% | 18.4% | 22.2% | 19.1% | 13.8% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 9.6% | 12.9% | 15.3% | 18.8% | 21.4% | 21.9% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 6.2% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 16.9% | 20.0% | 33.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.