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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy2.05+2.48vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.42+3.23vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy1.12+3.24vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.19+1.96vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.41+3.76vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara1.85-1.99vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles0.29+2.25vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego0.50+0.32vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-0.61+3.84vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz-0.46+2.42vs Predicted
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11University of Southern California-0.10-0.21vs Predicted
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12University of California at Davis-1.03+3.05vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley-1.03+1.90vs Predicted
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14San Diego State University-0.29-2.38vs Predicted
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15California State University Monterey Bay-0.52-2.76vs Predicted
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16Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.57+0.98vs Predicted
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17University of California at Berkeley-1.11-1.81vs Predicted
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18University of California at San Diego-1.60-0.73vs Predicted
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19University of California at Los Angeles-1.46-2.83vs Predicted
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20Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.26-3.97vs Predicted
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21California State University Channel Islands-2.64+0.41vs Predicted
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22University of California at San Diego-2.41-1.90vs Predicted
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23University of California at Santa Cruz-1.80-4.95vs Predicted
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24California State University Channel Islands-2.97-2.02vs Predicted
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25Arizona State University-2.53-4.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.48California Poly Maritime Academy2.050.2%1st Place
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5.23University of California at Santa Barbara1.420.1%1st Place
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6.24California Poly Maritime Academy1.120.1%1st Place
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5.96University of California at Santa Barbara1.190.1%1st Place
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8.76Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.410.0%1st Place
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4.01University of California at Santa Barbara1.850.2%1st Place
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9.25University of California at Los Angeles0.290.0%1st Place
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8.32University of California at San Diego0.500.0%1st Place
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12.84University of California at Los Angeles-0.610.0%1st Place
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12.42University of California at Santa Cruz-0.460.0%1st Place
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10.79University of Southern California-0.100.0%1st Place
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15.05University of California at Davis-1.030.0%1st Place
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14.9University of California at Berkeley-1.030.0%1st Place
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11.62San Diego State University-0.290.0%1st Place
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12.24California State University Monterey Bay-0.520.0%1st Place
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16.98Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.570.0%1st Place
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15.19University of California at Berkeley-1.110.0%1st Place
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17.27University of California at San Diego-1.600.0%1st Place
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16.17University of California at Los Angeles-1.460.0%1st Place
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16.03Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.260.0%1st Place
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21.41California State University Channel Islands-2.640.0%1st Place
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20.1University of California at San Diego-2.410.0%1st Place
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18.05University of California at Santa Cruz-1.800.0%1st Place
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21.98California State University Channel Islands-2.970.0%1st Place
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20.69Arizona State University-2.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Collins | 23.6% | 20.0% | 15.4% | 12.5% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ted McDonough | 10.4% | 13.5% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maxwell Roth | 8.8% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jasper Reid | 9.0% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Case | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Alexander | 18.0% | 16.0% | 15.2% | 13.6% | 12.8% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mary Jane Howland | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Barton | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Matiyevsky | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Jack Zemke | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Edward Ansart | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Puts | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| James Guiraud | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Casey Gignac | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Liam Patrick | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Chris Haugen | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 2.3% |
| Sophia Zaleski | 1.8% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Megan Saenz | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 5.8% | 1.8% |
| Xinyu Zhou | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 1.5% |
| Macy Rowe | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.6% |
| Michael Boyd | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 12.5% | 19.3% | 24.9% |
| Jessica Dally | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 15.0% | 13.1% |
| Althea White | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 3.4% |
| Michael Schmitz | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 9.2% | 12.7% | 18.9% | 31.7% |
| Katherine Pearson | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 13.8% | 16.5% | 17.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.