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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin0.43+2.20vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.30+0.22vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin1.21-0.70vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan0.90-1.32vs Predicted
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5University of Illinois-2.33+0.58vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University-1.54-0.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.2University of Wisconsin0.430.1%1st Place
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2.22University of Wisconsin1.300.3%1st Place
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2.3University of Wisconsin1.210.3%1st Place
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2.68University of Michigan0.900.2%1st Place
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5.58University of Illinois-2.330.0%1st Place
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5.02Northwestern University-1.540.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marissa Tegeder | 13.1% | 16.5% | 21.3% | 37.0% | 10.4% | 1.7% |
| Hailey Feinzig | 34.0% | 27.2% | 23.8% | 13.1% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Higgins | 30.9% | 29.0% | 21.9% | 15.8% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| Emily Pytell | 20.2% | 24.2% | 28.3% | 22.1% | 5.0% | 0.2% |
| Bahda Hoang | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 23.7% | 69.8% |
| Jenna Spray | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 8.7% | 56.7% | 28.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.