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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Marquette University-0.02+3.13vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.30+0.46vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan0.90-0.03vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin1.21-1.40vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University-1.54+0.88vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin0.43-2.43vs Predicted
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7University of Illinois-2.33-0.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.13Marquette University-0.020.1%1st Place
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2.46University of Wisconsin1.300.3%1st Place
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2.97University of Michigan0.900.2%1st Place
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2.6University of Wisconsin1.210.3%1st Place
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5.88Northwestern University-1.540.0%1st Place
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3.57University of Wisconsin0.430.1%1st Place
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6.39University of Illinois-2.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brigit Barr | 9.5% | 9.1% | 12.8% | 17.2% | 33.9% | 14.2% | 3.3% |
| Hailey Feinzig | 30.4% | 27.0% | 19.1% | 15.3% | 6.1% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Pytell | 18.8% | 21.2% | 23.7% | 20.9% | 11.7% | 3.5% | 0.2% |
| Katherine Higgins | 26.9% | 25.1% | 21.1% | 16.1% | 9.7% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Jenna Spray | 1.1% | 1.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 10.0% | 48.8% | 30.3% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 12.3% | 14.9% | 18.2% | 22.5% | 23.2% | 7.6% | 1.3% |
| Bahda Hoang | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 22.7% | 64.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.