← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University2.40+5.36vs Predicted
-
2University of Pennsylvania2.11+5.24vs Predicted
-
3Bowdoin College2.03+4.65vs Predicted
-
4Harvard University2.30+2.78vs Predicted
-
5Yale University2.92-0.10vs Predicted
-
6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64-0.38vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74+1.62vs Predicted
-
8Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.85+0.31vs Predicted
-
9Brown University2.28-2.24vs Predicted
-
10Northwestern University0.70+1.95vs Predicted
-
11Dartmouth College2.52-4.89vs Predicted
-
12College of Charleston1.75-3.09vs Predicted
-
13University of Rhode Island1.17-2.21vs Predicted
-
14Boston University0.72-2.22vs Predicted
-
15Georgetown University1.86-6.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.36Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
-
7.24University of Pennsylvania2.110.1%1st Place
-
7.65Bowdoin College2.030.1%1st Place
-
6.78Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
-
4.9Yale University2.920.2%1st Place
-
5.62Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
-
8.62U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.1%1st Place
-
8.31Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.850.1%1st Place
-
6.76Brown University2.280.1%1st Place
-
11.95Northwestern University0.700.0%1st Place
-
6.11Dartmouth College2.520.1%1st Place
-
8.91College of Charleston1.750.0%1st Place
-
10.79University of Rhode Island1.170.0%1st Place
-
11.78Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
-
8.24Georgetown University1.860.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Talia Toland | 9.3% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Amanda Majernik | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 1.4% |
| Ellie Maus | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 1.3% |
| Sarah Burn | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 0.6% |
| Emma Cowles | 16.1% | 13.9% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Dana Haig | 11.2% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 5.0% |
| Ella Withington | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 2.7% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Marina Hutzler | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 18.0% | 31.6% |
| Payton Thompson | 10.5% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Grace Squires | 4.4% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 4.9% |
| Megan Gimple | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 14.6% | 14.6% | 17.5% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 10.1% | 18.5% | 29.5% |
| Riley Kloc | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 3.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.