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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.07+0.85vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University0.59+1.72vs Predicted
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3University of North Carolina0.22+1.00vs Predicted
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4Duke University0.06+0.28vs Predicted
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5Clemson University0.73-1.81vs Predicted
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6The Citadel0.33-2.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.85College of Charleston2.0749.6%1st Place
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3.72North Carolina State University0.5910.3%1st Place
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4.0University of North Carolina0.228.5%1st Place
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4.28Duke University0.067.8%1st Place
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3.19Clemson University0.7315.5%1st Place
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3.96The Citadel0.338.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonnie Ciffolillo | 49.6% | 27.4% | 13.8% | 6.7% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| William Wheary | 10.3% | 16.1% | 17.3% | 20.5% | 19.1% | 16.7% |
| Noah Jost | 8.5% | 12.4% | 16.6% | 18.1% | 21.3% | 23.0% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 7.8% | 10.6% | 12.6% | 15.4% | 21.8% | 31.7% |
| Nilah Miller | 15.5% | 20.1% | 23.1% | 20.0% | 14.1% | 7.2% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 8.2% | 13.4% | 16.6% | 19.2% | 21.6% | 21.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.