← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Washington College3.65+1.02vs Predicted
-
2Monmouth University0.98+4.33vs Predicted
-
3Stevens Institute of Technology2.75+0.23vs Predicted
-
5Princeton University2.30-1.14vs Predicted
-
6Penn State University0.99+0.03vs Predicted
-
7Villanova University1.80-2.24vs Predicted
-
8Ocean County College1.73-3.04vs Predicted
-
9Drexel University1.75-4.10vs Predicted
-
10University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.84-1.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.02Washington College3.650.4%1st Place
-
6.33Monmouth University0.980.0%1st Place
-
3.23Stevens Institute of Technology2.750.2%1st Place
-
3.86Princeton University2.300.1%1st Place
-
6.03Penn State University0.990.0%1st Place
-
4.76Villanova University1.800.1%1st Place
-
4.96Ocean County College1.730.1%1st Place
-
4.9Drexel University1.750.1%1st Place
-
8.9University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Whitford | 43.5% | 29.6% | 14.8% | 7.3% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paul Luisi | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 11.0% | 13.5% | 22.4% | 34.5% | 1.6% |
| Gerard Tonachel | 17.7% | 21.7% | 20.2% | 16.5% | 13.2% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Mary Gamber | 12.7% | 15.2% | 18.0% | 18.1% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 7.3% | 3.2% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Bennung | 3.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 20.1% | 30.6% | 2.3% |
| Andrew Sayre | 6.8% | 8.7% | 12.6% | 15.9% | 16.8% | 16.8% | 13.5% | 8.7% | 0.2% |
| Zachary Schippe | 6.6% | 7.8% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 16.5% | 18.8% | 16.8% | 9.4% | 0.2% |
| Joan Boyle | 7.1% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 13.6% | 14.6% | 17.9% | 15.6% | 10.5% | 0.3% |
| Dennis Seuferling | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 2.4% | 95.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.