← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University2.92+3.75vs Predicted
-
2Harvard University2.30+4.56vs Predicted
-
3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64+2.57vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University2.40+2.44vs Predicted
-
5University of Pennsylvania2.11+2.52vs Predicted
-
6College of Charleston1.75+2.74vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74+1.63vs Predicted
-
8Northwestern University0.70+3.88vs Predicted
-
9Dartmouth College2.52-3.03vs Predicted
-
10Bowdoin College2.03-2.23vs Predicted
-
11Georgetown University1.86-2.65vs Predicted
-
12University of Rhode Island1.17-1.19vs Predicted
-
13Boston University0.72-1.04vs Predicted
-
14Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.85-5.73vs Predicted
-
15Brown University2.28-8.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.75Yale University2.920.2%1st Place
-
6.56Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
-
5.57Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
-
6.44Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
-
7.52University of Pennsylvania2.110.1%1st Place
-
8.74College of Charleston1.750.0%1st Place
-
8.63U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.1%1st Place
-
11.88Northwestern University0.700.0%1st Place
-
5.97Dartmouth College2.520.1%1st Place
-
7.77Bowdoin College2.030.1%1st Place
-
8.35Georgetown University1.860.0%1st Place
-
10.81University of Rhode Island1.170.0%1st Place
-
11.96Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
-
8.27Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.850.0%1st Place
-
6.78Brown University2.280.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Cowles | 15.6% | 15.8% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Burn | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Dana Haig | 12.3% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Talia Toland | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Amanda Majernik | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Grace Squires | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 4.4% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 4.7% |
| Marina Hutzler | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 20.8% | 29.5% |
| Payton Thompson | 8.7% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Ellie Maus | 6.0% | 4.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 2.1% |
| Riley Kloc | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 4.0% |
| Megan Gimple | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 13.7% | 16.0% | 15.4% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 19.4% | 31.4% |
| Ella Withington | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 3.7% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.