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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64+4.58vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.11+5.23vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.92+1.73vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.28+2.77vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.40+1.56vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.85+2.37vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.52-0.97vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University1.86+0.36vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74-0.43vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.03-2.23vs Predicted
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11Boston University0.72+0.86vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.30-4.99vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.17-2.26vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston1.75-5.40vs Predicted
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15Northwestern University0.70-3.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.58Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
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7.23University of Pennsylvania2.110.1%1st Place
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4.73Yale University2.920.2%1st Place
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6.77Brown University2.280.1%1st Place
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6.56Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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8.37Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.850.1%1st Place
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6.03Dartmouth College2.520.1%1st Place
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8.36Georgetown University1.860.1%1st Place
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8.57U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.0%1st Place
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7.77Bowdoin College2.030.1%1st Place
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11.86Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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7.01Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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10.74University of Rhode Island1.170.0%1st Place
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8.6College of Charleston1.750.0%1st Place
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11.83Northwestern University0.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dana Haig | 12.8% | 10.3% | 12.9% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Amanda Majernik | 5.9% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 0.8% |
| Emma Cowles | 16.0% | 14.1% | 12.6% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Talia Toland | 8.5% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Ella Withington | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 3.3% |
| Payton Thompson | 11.4% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% |
| Riley Kloc | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 3.1% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 3.3% |
| Ellie Maus | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 2.1% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 16.2% | 32.7% |
| Sarah Burn | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Megan Gimple | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 13.3% | 16.4% | 16.6% |
| Grace Squires | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 3.5% |
| Marina Hutzler | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 19.4% | 30.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.