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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington College3.07+1.58vs Predicted
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2Villanova University1.80+2.90vs Predicted
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3Princeton University2.30+0.85vs Predicted
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4Stevens Institute of Technology2.75-1.00vs Predicted
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5Penn State University0.99+0.97vs Predicted
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6Drexel University1.75-1.25vs Predicted
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8Monmouth University0.98-1.81vs Predicted
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9Ocean County College1.73-4.14vs Predicted
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10University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.84-1.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.58Washington College3.070.3%1st Place
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4.9Villanova University1.800.1%1st Place
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3.85Princeton University2.300.1%1st Place
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3.0Stevens Institute of Technology2.750.2%1st Place
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5.97Penn State University0.990.0%1st Place
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4.75Drexel University1.750.1%1st Place
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6.19Monmouth University0.980.0%1st Place
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4.86Ocean County College1.730.1%1st Place
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8.9University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Fitzgerald | 30.8% | 26.0% | 17.4% | 13.5% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Sayre | 6.9% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 14.8% | 15.1% | 17.8% | 15.4% | 10.2% | 0.3% |
| Mary Gamber | 14.9% | 13.9% | 16.6% | 15.9% | 16.8% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Gerard Tonachel | 22.4% | 23.3% | 20.2% | 14.0% | 10.1% | 6.6% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Bennung | 4.0% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 18.9% | 30.9% | 1.9% |
| Joan Boyle | 8.4% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 15.4% | 17.7% | 15.0% | 8.4% | 0.1% |
| Paul Luisi | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 13.4% | 23.1% | 32.5% | 1.8% |
| Zachary Schippe | 8.8% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 14.7% | 17.4% | 14.4% | 11.9% | 0.4% |
| Dennis Seuferling | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 95.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.