← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston2.07+0.90vs Predicted
-
2Clemson University0.73+1.09vs Predicted
-
3North Carolina State University0.59+0.65vs Predicted
-
4Duke University0.06+0.37vs Predicted
-
5The Citadel0.33-1.01vs Predicted
-
6University of North Carolina0.22-2.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.9College of Charleston2.0746.9%1st Place
-
3.09Clemson University0.7318.4%1st Place
-
3.65North Carolina State University0.5911.1%1st Place
-
4.37Duke University0.066.0%1st Place
-
3.99The Citadel0.338.3%1st Place
-
4.0University of North Carolina0.229.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonnie Ciffolillo | 46.9% | 28.6% | 15.3% | 6.5% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Nilah Miller | 18.4% | 21.7% | 20.3% | 18.7% | 13.8% | 7.0% |
| William Wheary | 11.1% | 15.4% | 19.6% | 20.4% | 17.9% | 15.6% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 6.0% | 10.0% | 13.2% | 15.2% | 22.8% | 32.9% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 8.3% | 12.3% | 16.0% | 20.6% | 20.9% | 21.9% |
| Noah Jost | 9.2% | 11.9% | 15.6% | 18.6% | 22.4% | 22.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.