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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University1.69+7.21vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.12+1.80vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.33+3.16vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.29+2.31vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.44+4.18vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.28+3.70vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12-0.17vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.46-2.18vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27+0.64vs Predicted
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10George Washington University1.39-0.58vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University1.01-0.50vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.70-6.77vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston1.17-2.75vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania2.06-6.98vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island0.51-3.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.21Georgetown University1.690.1%1st Place
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3.8Yale University3.120.2%1st Place
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6.16Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
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6.31Harvard University2.290.1%1st Place
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9.18Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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9.7Tufts University1.280.0%1st Place
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6.83Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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5.82Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
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9.64Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.0%1st Place
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9.42George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
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10.5Northwestern University1.010.0%1st Place
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5.23Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
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10.25College of Charleston1.170.0%1st Place
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7.02University of Pennsylvania2.060.1%1st Place
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11.93University of Rhode Island0.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Sailer | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 4.1% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 21.4% | 19.8% | 12.9% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gray Hemans | 8.2% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Marbella Marlo | 8.0% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Tiare Sierra | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 7.0% |
| Alexandra Talbot | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 7.3% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 8.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 10.6% | 9.1% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Heather Kerns | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 7.0% |
| Islay Van Dusen | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 7.0% |
| Lillian Nemeth | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 14.2% | 16.4% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 11.3% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% |
| Fredrikke Foss | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 13.0% |
| Sofia Segalla | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Mackenzie Fraser | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 14.6% | 34.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.