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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.06+5.97vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.12+1.84vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University1.69+5.26vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.29+2.26vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.39+4.33vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.46-0.22vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27+2.64vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12-1.11vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island0.51+2.97vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.33-3.72vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University1.01-0.42vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.70-6.77vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston1.17-2.77vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.28-4.38vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.44-5.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.97University of Pennsylvania2.060.1%1st Place
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3.84Yale University3.120.2%1st Place
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8.26Georgetown University1.690.1%1st Place
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6.26Harvard University2.290.1%1st Place
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9.33George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
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5.78Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
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9.64Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.0%1st Place
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6.89Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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11.97University of Rhode Island0.510.0%1st Place
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6.28Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
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10.58Northwestern University1.010.0%1st Place
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5.23Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
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10.23College of Charleston1.170.0%1st Place
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9.62Tufts University1.280.0%1st Place
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9.11Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sofia Segalla | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.8% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 20.6% | 18.6% | 14.3% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Sailer | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 2.8% |
| Marbella Marlo | 8.3% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Islay Van Dusen | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 7.6% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 9.2% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Heather Kerns | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 8.9% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| Mackenzie Fraser | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 11.5% | 16.9% | 31.1% |
| Gray Hemans | 7.6% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Lillian Nemeth | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 13.9% | 17.6% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 11.4% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| Fredrikke Foss | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 12.8% |
| Alexandra Talbot | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 8.1% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 6.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.