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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.12+2.90vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.29+4.19vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17+3.64vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.70+1.05vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.18+1.85vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University1.69+2.42vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.33-0.80vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.44+1.19vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.46-3.24vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.28-0.25vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27-1.21vs Predicted
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12George Washington University1.39-2.43vs Predicted
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13Northwestern University1.01-2.27vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston1.17-3.96vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island0.51-3.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.9Yale University3.120.2%1st Place
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6.19Harvard University2.290.1%1st Place
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6.64Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.1%1st Place
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5.05Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
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6.85University of Pennsylvania2.180.1%1st Place
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8.42Georgetown University1.690.0%1st Place
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6.2Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
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9.19Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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5.76Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
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9.75Tufts University1.280.0%1st Place
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9.79Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.0%1st Place
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9.57George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
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10.73Northwestern University1.010.0%1st Place
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10.04College of Charleston1.170.0%1st Place
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11.93University of Rhode Island0.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mia Nicolosi | 21.2% | 18.4% | 13.5% | 12.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Marbella Marlo | 9.0% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 8.1% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 13.3% | 13.9% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Torrey Chisari | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Morgan Sailer | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 3.0% |
| Gray Hemans | 10.5% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Tiare Sierra | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 6.1% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 8.8% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Alexandra Talbot | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 8.9% |
| Heather Kerns | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 10.1% |
| Islay Van Dusen | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 7.4% |
| Lillian Nemeth | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 13.6% | 13.6% | 17.0% |
| Fredrikke Foss | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 10.9% |
| Mackenzie Fraser | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 10.1% | 15.5% | 34.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.