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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island0.51+10.49vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.12+1.56vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.46+2.43vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.18+2.33vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17+1.46vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.29+0.01vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27+2.36vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University1.69+0.01vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University1.01+1.25vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.33-4.06vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College1.14-1.15vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston1.17-2.01vs Predicted
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13George Washington University1.39-3.79vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.44-5.19vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.28-5.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.49University of Rhode Island0.510.0%1st Place
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3.56Yale University3.120.2%1st Place
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5.43Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
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6.33University of Pennsylvania2.180.1%1st Place
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6.46Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.1%1st Place
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6.01Harvard University2.290.1%1st Place
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9.36Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.0%1st Place
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8.01Georgetown University1.690.0%1st Place
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10.25Northwestern University1.010.0%1st Place
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5.94Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
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9.85Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
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9.99College of Charleston1.170.0%1st Place
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9.21George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
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8.81Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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9.31Tufts University1.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mackenzie Fraser | 1.5% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 14.9% | 30.0% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 24.1% | 19.0% | 15.1% | 12.7% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 11.0% | 11.4% | 12.9% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Torrey Chisari | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 8.5% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Marbella Marlo | 8.6% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Heather Kerns | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 8.0% |
| Morgan Sailer | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 2.1% |
| Lillian Nemeth | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 13.2% |
| Gray Hemans | 8.3% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 13.1% |
| Fredrikke Foss | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 11.5% |
| Islay Van Dusen | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 6.8% |
| Tiare Sierra | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 6.0% |
| Alexandra Talbot | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 7.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.