← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Washington College3.07+1.57vs Predicted
-
2Princeton University2.30+2.00vs Predicted
-
3Ocean County College1.73+1.90vs Predicted
-
5Stevens Institute of Technology2.75-2.00vs Predicted
-
6Drexel University1.75-1.30vs Predicted
-
7Villanova University1.80-2.33vs Predicted
-
8Monmouth University0.98-1.83vs Predicted
-
9Penn State University0.99-2.91vs Predicted
-
10University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.84-1.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.57Washington College3.070.3%1st Place
-
4.0Princeton University2.300.1%1st Place
-
4.9Ocean County College1.730.1%1st Place
-
3.0Stevens Institute of Technology2.750.2%1st Place
-
4.7Drexel University1.750.1%1st Place
-
4.67Villanova University1.800.1%1st Place
-
6.17Monmouth University0.980.0%1st Place
-
6.09Penn State University0.990.0%1st Place
-
8.9University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Fitzgerald | 32.2% | 24.3% | 18.5% | 11.8% | 7.8% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mary Gamber | 11.2% | 14.9% | 16.8% | 17.1% | 16.1% | 12.1% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 0.1% |
| Zachary Schippe | 7.6% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 13.9% | 16.1% | 15.6% | 16.6% | 10.5% | 0.3% |
| Gerard Tonachel | 23.7% | 22.6% | 18.8% | 14.7% | 10.3% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Joan Boyle | 8.1% | 11.4% | 12.7% | 13.3% | 14.7% | 15.1% | 14.0% | 10.2% | 0.5% |
| Andrew Sayre | 8.8% | 9.5% | 12.3% | 13.5% | 15.7% | 19.1% | 13.4% | 7.5% | 0.2% |
| Paul Luisi | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 13.9% | 21.4% | 32.7% | 2.1% |
| Rachel Bennung | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 13.9% | 21.5% | 31.9% | 1.2% |
| Dennis Seuferling | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 95.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.