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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.07+0.90vs Predicted
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2University of North Carolina0.22+2.04vs Predicted
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3Clemson University0.73+0.16vs Predicted
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4The Citadel0.33+0.03vs Predicted
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5Duke University0.06-0.75vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University0.59-2.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.9College of Charleston2.0746.8%1st Place
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4.04University of North Carolina0.228.3%1st Place
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3.16Clemson University0.7316.4%1st Place
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4.03The Citadel0.337.8%1st Place
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4.25Duke University0.068.6%1st Place
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3.62North Carolina State University0.5912.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonnie Ciffolillo | 46.8% | 29.0% | 14.7% | 6.3% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Noah Jost | 8.3% | 11.3% | 15.7% | 20.2% | 21.9% | 22.6% |
| Nilah Miller | 16.4% | 21.8% | 21.1% | 18.8% | 13.9% | 8.0% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 7.8% | 10.8% | 17.5% | 20.7% | 21.5% | 21.8% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 8.6% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 14.1% | 22.4% | 31.4% |
| William Wheary | 12.0% | 16.2% | 18.4% | 19.8% | 17.8% | 15.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.