Race 10B

yale-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Mia Nicolosi 24.3% 19.9% 13.9% 11.3% 9.5% 5.8% 5.9% 3.9% 2.5% 1.0% 0.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Alexandra Talbot 3.0% 4.5% 3.9% 5.5% 4.4% 5.9% 7.1% 7.6% 7.3% 7.7% 8.3% 9.3% 9.6% 8.3% 7.6%
Marbella Marlo 9.9% 9.4% 10.9% 10.0% 10.1% 8.5% 8.9% 8.5% 5.6% 7.3% 4.5% 2.8% 2.3% 1.1% 0.2%
Tiare Sierra 3.9% 4.4% 4.4% 5.9% 6.9% 6.1% 6.1% 6.4% 8.2% 7.7% 9.9% 7.6% 8.6% 7.7% 6.2%
Morgan Sailer 4.9% 6.7% 6.4% 5.8% 6.6% 5.7% 7.6% 6.3% 7.9% 9.0% 9.4% 8.0% 7.1% 5.6% 3.0%
Gray Hemans 10.2% 9.2% 9.5% 10.8% 10.7% 9.2% 9.4% 7.8% 7.0% 6.6% 3.7% 3.4% 1.5% 0.8% 0.2%
Brielle Willoughby 12.2% 10.9% 12.0% 11.2% 8.6% 11.2% 6.5% 9.0% 5.0% 3.6% 5.1% 2.7% 1.4% 0.2% 0.4%
Lillian Nemeth 2.8% 2.7% 2.8% 3.5% 4.5% 4.3% 4.3% 5.7% 5.5% 8.0% 7.3% 9.2% 10.7% 14.4% 14.3%
Fredrikke Foss 2.7% 3.0% 3.1% 4.8% 4.6% 4.7% 6.2% 6.0% 7.4% 8.3% 8.6% 10.5% 10.3% 10.2% 9.6%
Teagan Cunningham 3.0% 2.9% 3.2% 3.3% 4.0% 5.6% 5.6% 5.9% 7.2% 6.6% 8.4% 10.8% 10.5% 11.0% 12.0%
Islay Van Dusen 3.0% 4.2% 4.9% 6.1% 5.0% 6.9% 5.9% 6.6% 7.7% 7.3% 8.1% 8.8% 9.3% 9.3% 6.9%
Kaila Pfrang 7.8% 8.1% 9.4% 8.6% 9.1% 9.1% 8.6% 7.1% 8.8% 6.9% 5.1% 5.2% 3.4% 2.4% 0.4%
Torrey Chisari 7.5% 8.4% 9.8% 6.2% 9.1% 9.5% 8.4% 8.6% 7.8% 8.0% 5.7% 4.8% 3.1% 2.0% 1.1%
Mackenzie Fraser 1.5% 1.5% 1.8% 2.4% 1.4% 2.9% 3.4% 4.1% 5.7% 4.7% 6.1% 7.0% 10.5% 16.1% 30.9%
Heather Kerns 3.3% 4.2% 4.0% 4.6% 5.5% 4.6% 6.1% 6.5% 6.4% 7.3% 9.0% 9.0% 11.5% 10.8% 7.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.