← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University2.46+4.34vs Predicted
-
2Dartmouth College2.33+3.65vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University1.28+6.30vs Predicted
-
4College of Charleston1.17+5.68vs Predicted
-
5University of Pennsylvania2.18+1.40vs Predicted
-
6Georgetown University1.69+2.01vs Predicted
-
7Northwestern University1.01+3.15vs Predicted
-
8Yale University3.12-4.26vs Predicted
-
9Boston University1.44-0.21vs Predicted
-
10Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27-0.47vs Predicted
-
11Bowdoin College1.14-1.16vs Predicted
-
12George Washington University1.39-2.67vs Predicted
-
13Harvard University2.29-6.81vs Predicted
-
14University of Rhode Island0.51-2.29vs Predicted
-
15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17-8.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.34Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
-
5.65Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
-
9.3Tufts University1.280.0%1st Place
-
9.68College of Charleston1.170.0%1st Place
-
6.4University of Pennsylvania2.180.1%1st Place
-
8.01Georgetown University1.690.0%1st Place
-
10.15Northwestern University1.010.0%1st Place
-
3.74Yale University3.120.2%1st Place
-
8.79Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
-
9.53Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.0%1st Place
-
9.84Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
-
9.33George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
-
6.19Harvard University2.290.1%1st Place
-
11.71University of Rhode Island0.510.0%1st Place
-
6.35Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brielle Willoughby | 11.9% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Gray Hemans | 10.7% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Alexandra Talbot | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 6.9% |
| Fredrikke Foss | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 10.9% |
| Torrey Chisari | 9.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| Morgan Sailer | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 2.7% |
| Lillian Nemeth | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 13.4% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 21.6% | 18.5% | 14.8% | 12.5% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 5.1% |
| Heather Kerns | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 8.6% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 12.0% |
| Islay Van Dusen | 3.6% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 7.0% |
| Marbella Marlo | 8.4% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Mackenzie Fraser | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 15.6% | 30.3% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 8.1% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.