Race 12B

yale-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Islay Van Dusen 4.3% 4.5% 4.9% 4.3% 6.8% 5.3% 7.7% 7.1% 7.5% 7.1% 7.3% 9.4% 8.2% 8.5% 7.1%
Marbella Marlo 9.4% 10.7% 11.1% 10.0% 9.0% 9.9% 9.2% 7.2% 6.8% 6.3% 4.4% 3.1% 1.4% 1.3% 0.2%
Brielle Willoughby 12.0% 10.9% 11.0% 11.7% 9.8% 9.6% 8.2% 7.5% 4.9% 5.2% 4.9% 2.5% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Tiare Sierra 4.1% 4.4% 4.3% 4.7% 6.6% 7.1% 6.5% 7.8% 7.4% 7.5% 8.1% 8.9% 9.4% 7.3% 5.9%
Gray Hemans 9.6% 10.7% 10.1% 8.7% 9.0% 9.9% 7.5% 8.2% 9.2% 5.5% 4.0% 3.6% 3.0% 0.8% 0.2%
Mia Nicolosi 22.0% 19.4% 15.9% 11.8% 9.2% 8.4% 5.0% 4.0% 2.1% 1.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Alexandra Talbot 4.1% 4.1% 3.4% 4.4% 4.7% 5.3% 5.7% 6.3% 8.1% 8.7% 8.0% 11.0% 9.7% 9.6% 6.9%
Torrey Chisari 9.8% 9.1% 7.8% 9.3% 8.9% 8.6% 7.8% 8.1% 7.5% 7.7% 6.4% 3.4% 3.3% 1.7% 0.6%
Lillian Nemeth 1.8% 2.4% 3.6% 3.2% 3.9% 3.2% 6.1% 6.5% 6.0% 8.2% 9.7% 10.3% 10.8% 11.9% 12.4%
Brooke Schmelz 7.2% 8.4% 9.2% 9.4% 8.0% 8.5% 9.2% 9.2% 7.0% 6.7% 5.9% 5.0% 3.2% 2.4% 0.7%
Teagan Cunningham 3.1% 2.9% 3.6% 4.7% 4.8% 4.3% 5.2% 6.6% 6.7% 7.2% 7.5% 8.2% 11.3% 12.4% 11.5%
Heather Kerns 2.7% 2.9% 3.2% 4.2% 5.1% 5.4% 5.9% 6.0% 7.2% 8.4% 9.3% 8.6% 10.7% 11.8% 8.6%
Fredrikke Foss 2.6% 3.5% 3.1% 4.1% 4.1% 5.0% 5.4% 5.0% 5.6% 7.6% 9.7% 9.6% 11.6% 12.3% 10.8%
Morgan Sailer 5.6% 4.8% 5.9% 6.8% 7.8% 6.9% 7.2% 7.5% 9.0% 7.5% 8.4% 8.9% 6.3% 4.6% 2.8%
Mackenzie Fraser 1.7% 1.3% 2.9% 2.7% 2.3% 2.6% 3.4% 3.0% 5.0% 5.0% 6.0% 7.3% 9.6% 15.0% 32.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.