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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.89+4.35vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.07+2.83vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.75+2.80vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.69+2.18vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.52+1.65vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont1.89+2.81vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.52+3.19vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63+1.58vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45-2.19vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.03-1.63vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64-4.75vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island1.17-0.82vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.11-1.62vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.77-4.97vs Predicted
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15Boston University0.72-2.34vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University0.61-3.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.35Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
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4.83Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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5.8Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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6.18Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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6.65Dartmouth College2.520.1%1st Place
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8.81University of Vermont1.890.0%1st Place
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10.19Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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9.58Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.0%1st Place
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6.81U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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8.37Bowdoin College2.030.1%1st Place
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6.25Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
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11.18University of Rhode Island1.170.0%1st Place
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11.38Connecticut College1.110.0%1st Place
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9.03Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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12.66Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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12.93Salve Regina University0.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Belda | 12.2% | 13.3% | 10.3% | 12.6% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 14.9% | 14.5% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Carmen Cowles | 11.2% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Emma Kaneti | 8.7% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Payton Thompson | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Gear | 4.3% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 3.1% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 5.7% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 3.3% |
| Emily Bornarth | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 0.3% |
| Ellie Maus | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 2.6% | 1.3% |
| Dana Haig | 10.2% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Megan Gimple | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 13.7% |
| Aili Moffet | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 14.3% | 13.1% |
| Abbie Carlson | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 2.7% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 11.9% | 19.2% | 25.9% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 12.9% | 16.9% | 30.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.