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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Clemson University0.73+2.18vs Predicted
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2Duke University0.06+2.33vs Predicted
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3University of North Carolina0.22+1.03vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.07-2.12vs Predicted
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5The Citadel0.33-1.05vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University0.59-2.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.18Clemson University0.7316.2%1st Place
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4.33Duke University0.067.4%1st Place
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4.03University of North Carolina0.229.3%1st Place
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1.88College of Charleston2.0748.0%1st Place
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3.95The Citadel0.339.0%1st Place
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3.63North Carolina State University0.5910.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nilah Miller | 16.2% | 20.5% | 21.6% | 20.0% | 14.1% | 7.6% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 7.4% | 9.7% | 12.9% | 14.9% | 22.9% | 32.2% |
| Noah Jost | 9.3% | 11.6% | 15.2% | 18.6% | 21.2% | 24.1% |
| Jonnie Ciffolillo | 48.0% | 27.8% | 15.2% | 7.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 9.0% | 12.8% | 16.7% | 19.0% | 21.1% | 21.4% |
| William Wheary | 10.2% | 17.7% | 18.4% | 20.4% | 19.1% | 14.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.