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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stevens Institute of Technology2.75+1.89vs Predicted
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3Penn State University0.99+3.13vs Predicted
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4Drexel University1.75+0.65vs Predicted
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5Princeton University1.50-0.07vs Predicted
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6Washington College3.07-3.58vs Predicted
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7Ocean County College1.73-2.38vs Predicted
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8Villanova University1.80-3.49vs Predicted
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9Monmouth University0.98-3.06vs Predicted
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10University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.84-1.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.89Stevens Institute of Technology2.750.2%1st Place
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6.13Penn State University0.990.0%1st Place
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4.65Drexel University1.750.1%1st Place
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4.93Princeton University1.500.1%1st Place
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2.42Washington College3.070.4%1st Place
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4.62Ocean County College1.730.1%1st Place
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4.51Villanova University1.800.1%1st Place
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5.94Monmouth University0.980.1%1st Place
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8.9University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gerard Tonachel | 23.5% | 24.3% | 19.9% | 15.2% | 9.5% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Bennung | 2.9% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 15.4% | 20.8% | 31.2% | 1.4% |
| Joan Boyle | 7.6% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 14.6% | 15.6% | 15.7% | 15.1% | 7.5% | 0.4% |
| Gene Merewether | 6.8% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 15.2% | 15.0% | 17.1% | 12.1% | 0.2% |
| Sam Fitzgerald | 36.2% | 24.2% | 18.1% | 11.0% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Schippe | 8.2% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 15.8% | 16.4% | 15.2% | 12.5% | 8.5% | 0.3% |
| Andrew Sayre | 9.4% | 10.5% | 14.1% | 14.4% | 16.1% | 16.3% | 11.4% | 7.6% | 0.2% |
| Paul Luisi | 5.3% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 14.0% | 18.6% | 30.6% | 1.5% |
| Dennis Seuferling | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 96.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.