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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45+5.72vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.52+4.57vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.07+1.86vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.75+2.01vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64+1.23vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.52+4.15vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.17+4.26vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont1.89+0.66vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.69-2.98vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.89-4.56vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63-1.36vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.03-3.66vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.77-3.78vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University0.61-1.28vs Predicted
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15Boston University0.72-2.35vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College1.11-4.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.72U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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6.57Dartmouth College2.520.1%1st Place
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4.86Boston College3.070.2%1st Place
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6.01Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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6.23Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
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10.15Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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11.26University of Rhode Island1.170.0%1st Place
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8.66University of Vermont1.890.0%1st Place
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6.02Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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5.44Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
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9.64Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.0%1st Place
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8.34Bowdoin College2.030.1%1st Place
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9.22Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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12.72Salve Regina University0.610.0%1st Place
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12.65Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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11.52Connecticut College1.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Bornarth | 7.1% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Payton Thompson | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 16.5% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Carmen Cowles | 9.9% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Dana Haig | 9.1% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 6.7% |
| Megan Gimple | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 15.2% | 12.9% |
| Grace Gear | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 1.2% |
| Emma Kaneti | 10.4% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Olivia Belda | 11.7% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 4.2% |
| Ellie Maus | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.1% |
| Abbie Carlson | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 3.2% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 15.1% | 28.5% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 12.5% | 15.1% | 28.4% |
| Aili Moffet | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 15.1% | 15.4% | 11.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.