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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63+8.55vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45+4.78vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.77+6.23vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.89+1.55vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.75+0.88vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.52+0.74vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.03+1.39vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.17+3.13vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.69-2.98vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.07-5.13vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.11+0.33vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64-5.76vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.52-2.94vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont1.89-5.32vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University0.61-2.08vs Predicted
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16Boston University0.72-3.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.55Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.0%1st Place
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6.78U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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9.23Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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5.55Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
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5.88Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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6.74Dartmouth College2.520.1%1st Place
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8.39Bowdoin College2.030.1%1st Place
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11.13University of Rhode Island1.170.0%1st Place
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6.02Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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4.87Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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11.33Connecticut College1.110.0%1st Place
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6.24Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
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10.06Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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8.68University of Vermont1.890.0%1st Place
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12.92Salve Regina University0.610.0%1st Place
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12.63Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 2.5% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 4.2% |
| Emily Bornarth | 7.3% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Abbie Carlson | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 3.5% |
| Olivia Belda | 11.3% | 12.2% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Carmen Cowles | 10.7% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Payton Thompson | 7.9% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Ellie Maus | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 1.6% |
| Megan Gimple | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 13.3% | 13.0% | 12.2% |
| Emma Kaneti | 9.8% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 14.8% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aili Moffet | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 13.1% | 14.6% | 13.9% |
| Dana Haig | 9.8% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 5.8% |
| Grace Gear | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 1.8% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 11.3% | 19.1% | 30.1% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 17.3% | 26.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.