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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.07+3.76vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.52+4.57vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45+3.83vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.75+1.99vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.89+0.45vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63+3.71vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.52+3.14vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.77+1.07vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.69-3.00vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College1.11+1.51vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.03-2.75vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64-5.74vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont1.89-4.26vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.17-2.90vs Predicted
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15Boston University0.72-2.34vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University0.61-3.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.76Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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6.57Dartmouth College2.520.1%1st Place
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6.83U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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5.99Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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5.45Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
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9.71Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.0%1st Place
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10.14Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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9.07Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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6.0Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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11.51Connecticut College1.110.0%1st Place
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8.25Bowdoin College2.030.1%1st Place
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6.26Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
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8.74University of Vermont1.890.0%1st Place
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11.1University of Rhode Island1.170.0%1st Place
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12.66Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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12.96Salve Regina University0.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colleen O'Brien | 15.0% | 14.4% | 13.0% | 12.3% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Payton Thompson | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Emily Bornarth | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Carmen Cowles | 9.2% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Olivia Belda | 11.6% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 5.5% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 5.6% |
| Abbie Carlson | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 2.8% |
| Emma Kaneti | 10.7% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Aili Moffet | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 11.4% | 14.5% | 14.0% | 13.4% |
| Ellie Maus | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
| Dana Haig | 9.9% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Grace Gear | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 1.7% |
| Megan Gimple | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 13.4% | 11.3% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 19.9% | 25.6% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 12.3% | 16.2% | 31.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.