← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston2.07+0.88vs Predicted
-
2Clemson University0.73+1.15vs Predicted
-
3Duke University0.06+1.32vs Predicted
-
4North Carolina State University0.59-0.33vs Predicted
-
5The Citadel0.33-1.02vs Predicted
-
6University of North Carolina0.22-2.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.88College of Charleston2.0748.0%1st Place
-
3.15Clemson University0.7316.2%1st Place
-
4.32Duke University0.066.8%1st Place
-
3.67North Carolina State University0.5911.5%1st Place
-
3.98The Citadel0.338.8%1st Place
-
4.0University of North Carolina0.228.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonnie Ciffolillo | 48.0% | 28.0% | 14.8% | 6.7% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Nilah Miller | 16.2% | 22.2% | 22.0% | 17.6% | 14.2% | 7.8% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 6.8% | 9.6% | 13.6% | 17.1% | 20.8% | 32.2% |
| William Wheary | 11.5% | 15.0% | 17.8% | 20.6% | 20.4% | 14.6% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 8.8% | 12.6% | 16.2% | 19.3% | 21.1% | 22.1% |
| Noah Jost | 8.8% | 12.7% | 15.6% | 18.8% | 21.1% | 23.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.