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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Washington College3.07+0.42vs Predicted
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3Ocean County College1.73+1.86vs Predicted
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4Princeton University1.50+1.10vs Predicted
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5Stevens Institute of Technology2.75-2.13vs Predicted
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6Penn State University0.99-0.21vs Predicted
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7Villanova University1.80-2.56vs Predicted
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8Monmouth University0.98-2.00vs Predicted
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9Drexel University1.75-4.39vs Predicted
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10University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.84-1.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.42Washington College3.070.3%1st Place
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4.86Ocean County College1.730.1%1st Place
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5.1Princeton University1.500.1%1st Place
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2.87Stevens Institute of Technology2.750.2%1st Place
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5.79Penn State University0.990.0%1st Place
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4.44Villanova University1.800.1%1st Place
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6.0Monmouth University0.980.0%1st Place
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4.61Drexel University1.750.1%1st Place
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8.89University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Fitzgerald | 34.7% | 25.8% | 17.5% | 11.5% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Schippe | 6.5% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 16.1% | 15.6% | 16.0% | 15.6% | 9.9% | 0.3% |
| Gene Merewether | 6.4% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 13.9% | 13.3% | 16.0% | 16.4% | 14.6% | 0.7% |
| Gerard Tonachel | 24.0% | 24.9% | 20.6% | 13.1% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Bennung | 4.6% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 18.0% | 27.7% | 1.8% |
| Andrew Sayre | 9.7% | 10.6% | 14.3% | 15.6% | 15.8% | 15.7% | 11.7% | 6.6% | 0.0% |
| Paul Luisi | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 11.0% | 14.2% | 21.6% | 28.9% | 1.8% |
| Joan Boyle | 9.7% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 12.7% | 16.5% | 15.7% | 12.8% | 9.0% | 0.4% |
| Dennis Seuferling | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 2.5% | 95.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.