Race 3B

2021-victorian-urn

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Emma Cowles 17.3% 14.8% 14.6% 11.4% 10.0% 8.4% 6.2% 5.9% 4.7% 3.2% 1.6% 1.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Sarah Burn 9.2% 8.9% 9.8% 9.6% 8.8% 9.0% 7.2% 7.2% 6.5% 7.7% 6.5% 3.9% 2.8% 1.3% 1.3% 0.3%
Elizabeth Kaplan 14.0% 10.5% 13.1% 11.9% 10.3% 10.1% 9.3% 5.6% 5.7% 3.6% 2.1% 1.8% 1.5% 0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Emma Snead 5.6% 8.6% 7.3% 8.1% 8.4% 7.1% 7.5% 8.8% 8.0% 8.2% 6.2% 6.1% 5.8% 2.2% 1.3% 0.8%
Tiare Sierra 3.2% 4.0% 4.0% 5.0% 4.8% 5.1% 6.1% 7.7% 7.1% 7.7% 6.9% 10.4% 7.7% 9.4% 8.6% 2.3%
Mackenzie Fraser 1.0% 2.0% 1.5% 1.1% 1.7% 2.4% 2.5% 3.1% 5.4% 6.0% 6.2% 7.6% 7.1% 11.9% 13.5% 27.0%
Kaila Pfrang 8.2% 8.6% 6.6% 7.8% 7.4% 8.6% 10.5% 7.0% 7.4% 7.4% 5.6% 6.1% 4.3% 3.0% 1.2% 0.3%
Caroline Bayless 10.7% 9.6% 9.8% 10.1% 9.3% 9.5% 7.6% 9.0% 7.2% 5.5% 4.6% 3.6% 2.1% 1.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Libby Redmond 6.9% 7.7% 6.8% 7.3% 8.2% 8.2% 8.5% 8.7% 7.7% 6.8% 8.1% 4.0% 4.3% 4.3% 1.7% 0.8%
Pearl Lattanzi 3.1% 2.6% 3.5% 3.2% 3.6% 3.2% 4.4% 5.4% 6.3% 6.6% 9.1% 10.4% 10.9% 12.5% 8.9% 6.3%
Audrey Commerford 2.5% 2.1% 1.3% 2.9% 3.5% 3.7% 2.9% 4.0% 4.0% 5.7% 6.2% 6.6% 9.4% 12.6% 16.2% 16.4%
AnaLucia Clarkson 3.3% 3.8% 3.6% 4.0% 3.3% 6.3% 5.4% 6.8% 6.6% 6.6% 9.4% 7.6% 10.4% 8.3% 8.8% 5.8%
Gray Hemans 8.3% 9.3% 10.4% 8.8% 10.1% 8.7% 9.0% 8.1% 6.9% 6.0% 5.4% 3.4% 3.5% 1.6% 0.3% 0.2%
Caylin Schnoor 2.5% 2.3% 2.5% 3.2% 3.2% 4.0% 3.6% 5.1% 5.7% 6.4% 8.3% 7.7% 11.9% 10.5% 11.2% 11.9%
Lauren Krim 1.8% 1.6% 1.9% 1.3% 2.6% 2.0% 3.4% 3.2% 3.6% 4.4% 5.2% 8.7% 8.6% 11.6% 17.7% 22.4%
Alexandra Talbot 2.4% 3.6% 3.3% 4.3% 4.8% 3.7% 5.9% 4.4% 7.2% 8.2% 8.6% 10.9% 9.3% 9.5% 8.5% 5.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.