Race 7B

2021-victorian-urn

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

12.5%
Within 2 Positions
5.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Caylin Schnoor 1.4% 2.2% 3.0% 4.1% 4.9% 3.6% 5.3% 4.8% 3.9% 6.2% 7.6% 9.3% 8.4% 12.7% 12.3% 10.3%
Pearl Lattanzi 2.5% 2.9% 4.1% 4.6% 4.1% 4.5% 4.0% 5.3% 6.8% 6.8% 7.5% 8.0% 11.7% 10.3% 9.4% 7.5%
Chloe Holder 6.6% 6.7% 5.8% 7.5% 8.5% 6.6% 6.7% 8.9% 10.4% 7.2% 7.7% 7.1% 4.3% 2.8% 2.3% 0.9%
Taylor Eastman 6.0% 8.7% 7.0% 7.5% 7.6% 7.3% 7.7% 8.0% 9.0% 7.7% 7.1% 6.6% 4.8% 2.8% 1.7% 0.5%
Caroline Bayless 9.4% 10.8% 9.6% 8.5% 9.3% 10.2% 8.0% 8.3% 7.2% 6.3% 5.0% 3.8% 2.4% 0.6% 0.6% 0.0%
Sadie Thomas 1.5% 1.1% 1.4% 1.8% 1.9% 2.0% 2.7% 3.4% 3.0% 4.9% 6.6% 7.5% 10.1% 10.0% 15.9% 26.2%
Sarah Burn 9.8% 8.5% 8.8% 7.7% 8.1% 8.7% 8.6% 6.4% 9.8% 7.0% 5.5% 4.4% 3.6% 2.0% 0.8% 0.3%
Lauren Krim 1.4% 1.8% 2.7% 2.5% 2.1% 2.2% 2.9% 3.9% 3.8% 4.1% 6.7% 7.7% 9.2% 12.1% 16.6% 20.3%
Audrey Commerford 2.3% 2.1% 1.8% 2.0% 2.9% 3.3% 4.3% 3.7% 4.2% 6.2% 7.1% 7.7% 10.3% 11.4% 15.5% 15.2%
Emma Cowles 16.4% 14.3% 12.5% 13.0% 10.1% 10.6% 6.7% 5.1% 4.5% 3.1% 1.8% 0.9% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Libby Redmond 7.9% 6.9% 6.4% 8.0% 7.4% 7.8% 7.8% 7.3% 8.7% 8.0% 6.1% 6.8% 5.4% 3.8% 1.3% 0.4%
Kaila Pfrang 8.0% 8.0% 8.5% 8.6% 9.9% 7.4% 6.9% 7.5% 7.3% 5.9% 7.3% 5.6% 4.5% 2.7% 1.3% 0.6%
Emma Snead 6.7% 7.7% 9.8% 7.4% 7.4% 8.3% 8.4% 9.5% 7.7% 7.9% 5.7% 4.2% 4.4% 3.3% 1.2% 0.4%
Elizabeth Kaplan 14.1% 13.1% 13.3% 10.6% 8.0% 8.8% 9.1% 8.1% 3.8% 4.7% 3.3% 1.4% 1.2% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Tiare Sierra 4.4% 3.3% 3.5% 3.8% 4.8% 5.9% 7.0% 6.1% 6.0% 8.0% 9.5% 9.7% 8.6% 10.7% 5.8% 2.9%
Hailey Pemberton 1.6% 1.9% 1.8% 2.4% 3.0% 2.8% 3.9% 3.7% 3.9% 6.0% 5.5% 9.3% 10.4% 14.0% 15.3% 14.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.