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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.98+6.34vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.41+4.00vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.04+4.25vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.92+0.60vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.70+0.17vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University0.95+5.06vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont0.76+4.62vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University0.58+4.00vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-2.00vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.30-3.57vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.44-1.72vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University1.16-1.67vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17-6.17vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.07-6.99vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island0.51-2.58vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College0.77-4.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.34Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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6.0Brown University2.410.1%1st Place
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7.25Boston College2.040.1%1st Place
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4.6Yale University2.920.2%1st Place
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5.17Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
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11.06Roger Williams University0.950.0%1st Place
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11.62University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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12.0Northeastern University0.580.0%1st Place
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7.0U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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6.43Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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9.28Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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10.33Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
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6.83Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.1%1st Place
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7.01Dartmouth College2.070.1%1st Place
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12.42University of Rhode Island0.510.0%1st Place
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11.66Connecticut College0.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chloe Holder | 5.1% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Caroline Bayless | 11.0% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Libby Redmond | 7.6% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Emma Cowles | 15.6% | 15.8% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 12.9% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 12.2% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 15.9% | 16.6% |
| Lauren Krim | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 13.2% | 15.2% | 20.0% |
| Emma Snead | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Sarah Burn | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Tiare Sierra | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 2.8% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 8.4% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Taylor Eastman | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Mackenzie Fraser | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 17.7% | 23.6% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 13.7% | 15.8% | 13.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.