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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.92+3.54vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.30+4.52vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.04+4.48vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.33+2.61vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island0.51+7.61vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.41+0.33vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.16+3.62vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.70-2.87vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-1.87vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.44-0.35vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.98-3.34vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17-4.97vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University1.20-2.60vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College1.32-4.12vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont0.76-3.06vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University0.58-3.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.54Yale University2.920.2%1st Place
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6.52Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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7.48Boston College2.040.1%1st Place
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6.61Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
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12.61University of Rhode Island0.510.0%1st Place
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6.33Brown University2.410.1%1st Place
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10.62Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
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5.13Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
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7.13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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9.65Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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7.66Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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7.03Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.1%1st Place
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10.4Roger Williams University1.200.0%1st Place
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9.88Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
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11.94University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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12.46Northeastern University0.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Cowles | 15.6% | 15.8% | 13.6% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Burn | 8.3% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Libby Redmond | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Gray Hemans | 7.3% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Mackenzie Fraser | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 16.8% | 28.2% |
| Caroline Bayless | 9.1% | 7.5% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 13.0% | 8.4% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 14.2% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Emma Snead | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 4.2% |
| Chloe Holder | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 7.7% | 8.9% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 5.9% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 17.6% | 17.8% |
| Lauren Krim | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 12.8% | 18.0% | 23.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.