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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.07+0.89vs Predicted
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2Duke University0.06+2.29vs Predicted
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3The Citadel0.33+1.01vs Predicted
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4University of North Carolina0.22-0.01vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University0.59-1.32vs Predicted
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6Clemson University0.73-2.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.89College of Charleston2.0746.5%1st Place
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4.29Duke University0.067.2%1st Place
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4.01The Citadel0.339.1%1st Place
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3.99University of North Carolina0.228.8%1st Place
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3.68North Carolina State University0.5912.4%1st Place
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3.14Clemson University0.7316.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonnie Ciffolillo | 46.5% | 29.9% | 14.3% | 6.9% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 7.2% | 9.8% | 13.7% | 16.4% | 21.8% | 31.1% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 9.1% | 12.6% | 15.2% | 18.5% | 21.0% | 23.7% |
| Noah Jost | 8.8% | 11.6% | 17.9% | 17.6% | 21.9% | 22.2% |
| William Wheary | 12.4% | 14.8% | 16.8% | 20.1% | 20.2% | 15.8% |
| Nilah Miller | 16.1% | 21.2% | 22.2% | 20.6% | 13.0% | 7.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.