← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Washington College2.29+1.80vs Predicted
-
2Villanova University0.73+3.62vs Predicted
-
3Drexel University0.70+2.54vs Predicted
-
4Princeton University1.81-0.48vs Predicted
-
5Monmouth University1.95-1.77vs Predicted
-
6Penn State University-0.14+0.79vs Predicted
-
7Stevens Institute of Technology2.02-3.78vs Predicted
-
8University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.21+0.16vs Predicted
-
9Ocean County College0.30-2.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.8Washington College2.290.3%1st Place
-
5.62Villanova University0.730.0%1st Place
-
5.54Drexel University0.700.0%1st Place
-
3.52Princeton University1.810.2%1st Place
-
3.23Monmouth University1.950.2%1st Place
-
6.79Penn State University-0.140.0%1st Place
-
3.22Stevens Institute of Technology2.020.2%1st Place
-
8.16University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.210.0%1st Place
-
6.13Ocean County College0.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mildred Conroy | 28.0% | 22.7% | 17.2% | 15.3% | 9.5% | 5.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Trevor VonKaenel | 4.1% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 17.3% | 18.0% | 18.6% | 14.0% | 5.2% |
| Jennifer Mislinski | 4.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 18.4% | 21.8% | 13.4% | 3.9% |
| Samantha Gebb | 15.8% | 17.4% | 18.1% | 19.9% | 13.2% | 10.4% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Paul Stevens | 20.9% | 19.8% | 19.8% | 14.6% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Snyder | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 7.7% | 12.0% | 19.5% | 31.0% | 16.3% |
| Christian Geary | 20.2% | 18.9% | 20.1% | 16.2% | 13.5% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Cormier | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 15.6% | 65.5% |
| Dave DeSimone | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 11.9% | 16.4% | 20.5% | 22.3% | 8.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.