← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Dartmouth College3.47+5.30vs Predicted
-
2Brown University3.42+4.42vs Predicted
-
3Boston University2.57+6.78vs Predicted
-
4Roger Williams University3.09+3.37vs Predicted
-
5Harvard University3.12+2.36vs Predicted
-
6Yale University3.93-1.39vs Predicted
-
7Tufts University2.61+2.35vs Predicted
-
8Boston College3.01-0.35vs Predicted
-
9Northeastern University1.74+3.64vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-0.37vs Predicted
-
11Bowdoin College2.94-2.80vs Predicted
-
12Connecticut College2.82-3.10vs Predicted
-
13University of Rhode Island2.80-4.52vs Predicted
-
14Salve Regina University1.98-2.56vs Predicted
-
15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-4.52vs Predicted
-
16Fairfield University1.06-1.24vs Predicted
-
17University of Vermont2.11-5.59vs Predicted
-
18Maine Maritime Academy0.27-1.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.3Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
-
6.42Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
-
9.78Boston University2.570.0%1st Place
-
7.37Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
-
7.36Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
-
4.61Yale University3.930.2%1st Place
-
9.35Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
-
7.65Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
-
12.64Northeastern University1.740.0%1st Place
-
9.63U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
-
8.2Bowdoin College2.940.1%1st Place
-
8.9Connecticut College2.820.0%1st Place
-
8.48University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
-
11.44Salve Regina University1.980.0%1st Place
-
10.48Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.310.0%1st Place
-
14.76Fairfield University1.060.0%1st Place
-
11.41University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
-
16.23Maine Maritime Academy0.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Bragg | 10.5% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Connor Nelson | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Mowry | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Eli Burnes | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Shawn Harvey | 16.4% | 15.9% | 14.3% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Merson | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Jack DeNatale | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 11.8% | 15.6% | 13.7% | 6.3% |
| Daniel Unangst | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 0.5% |
| Alden Grimes | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 4.7% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Aidan naughton | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% |
| Alex Bowdler | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 12.4% | 8.5% | 4.2% |
| John Ped | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 1.5% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 27.2% | 22.9% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 3.1% |
| Luke Healy | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 7.5% | 16.7% | 57.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.