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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.93+3.79vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.57+7.80vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.01+4.96vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.61+5.21vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.12+2.32vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+4.59vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.82+1.51vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.74+4.50vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.94-0.98vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.42-3.53vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-1.45vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University1.98+0.11vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University3.09-5.64vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.80-5.70vs Predicted
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15Fairfield University1.06-0.33vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.11-4.63vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College3.47-10.73vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy0.27-1.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.79Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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9.8Boston University2.570.0%1st Place
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7.96Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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9.21Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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7.32Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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10.59Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.310.0%1st Place
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8.51Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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12.5Northeastern University1.740.0%1st Place
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8.02Bowdoin College2.940.1%1st Place
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6.47Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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9.55U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.0%1st Place
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12.11Salve Regina University1.980.0%1st Place
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7.36Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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8.3University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
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14.67Fairfield University1.060.0%1st Place
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11.37University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
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6.27Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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16.21Maine Maritime Academy0.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Harvey | 14.9% | 16.9% | 12.5% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Mowry | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Jack DeNatale | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Merson | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Eli Burnes | 7.9% | 9.9% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| John Ped | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 2.5% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 14.9% | 14.3% | 7.2% |
| Alden Grimes | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Nelson | 9.9% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Daniel Unangst | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Alex Bowdler | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 14.2% | 11.2% | 4.8% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Aidan naughton | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 12.7% | 25.9% | 21.3% |
| Connell Phillipps | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 8.1% | 3.7% |
| Robert Bragg | 11.5% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Luke Healy | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 7.1% | 17.1% | 55.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.