← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Bowdoin College2.94+7.25vs Predicted
-
2Yale University3.93+2.69vs Predicted
-
3Brown University3.42+3.45vs Predicted
-
4Connecticut College2.82+4.46vs Predicted
-
5Dartmouth College3.47+1.10vs Predicted
-
6Roger Williams University3.09+1.52vs Predicted
-
7University of Vermont2.11+4.29vs Predicted
-
8Boston University2.57+1.51vs Predicted
-
9Harvard University3.12-1.64vs Predicted
-
10Tufts University2.61-0.36vs Predicted
-
11Fairfield University1.06+3.66vs Predicted
-
12Boston College3.01-3.92vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-3.72vs Predicted
-
14University of Rhode Island2.80-5.62vs Predicted
-
15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-4.44vs Predicted
-
16Northeastern University1.74-3.27vs Predicted
-
17Maine Maritime Academy0.27-0.60vs Predicted
-
18Salve Regina University1.98-6.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.25Bowdoin College2.940.1%1st Place
-
4.69Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
-
6.45Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
-
8.46Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
-
6.1Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
-
7.52Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
-
11.29University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
-
9.51Boston University2.570.0%1st Place
-
7.36Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
-
9.64Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
-
14.66Fairfield University1.060.0%1st Place
-
8.08Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
-
9.28U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
-
8.38University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
-
10.56Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.310.0%1st Place
-
12.73Northeastern University1.740.0%1st Place
-
16.4Maine Maritime Academy0.270.0%1st Place
-
11.65Salve Regina University1.980.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alden Grimes | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Shawn Harvey | 13.6% | 16.2% | 14.2% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Nelson | 8.9% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 5.9% | 4.8% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Robert Bragg | 11.3% | 11.8% | 7.7% | 11.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 7.4% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Connell Phillipps | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 2.8% |
| Tyler Mowry | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Eli Burnes | 5.9% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% |
| Samuel Merson | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 0.9% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 1.6% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 13.0% | 25.6% | 22.6% |
| Jack DeNatale | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Daniel Unangst | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Aidan naughton | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| John Ped | 2.6% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 1.7% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 15.0% | 15.1% | 6.7% |
| Luke Healy | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 15.8% | 58.6% |
| Alex Bowdler | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 3.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.