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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.93+3.78vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.12+5.62vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.57+6.79vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.47+2.03vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.42+1.31vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.09+1.49vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.01+0.79vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.61+1.24vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.11+2.29vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.80-1.15vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-1.47vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University1.98+0.11vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.74-0.55vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College2.82-5.71vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.94-7.00vs Predicted
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16Fairfield University1.06-1.26vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy0.27-0.62vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-7.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.78Yale University3.930.2%1st Place
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7.62Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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9.79Boston University2.570.0%1st Place
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6.03Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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6.31Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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7.49Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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7.79Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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9.24Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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11.29University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
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8.85University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
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9.53U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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12.11Salve Regina University1.980.0%1st Place
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12.45Northeastern University1.740.0%1st Place
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8.29Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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8.0Bowdoin College2.940.1%1st Place
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14.74Fairfield University1.060.0%1st Place
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16.38Maine Maritime Academy0.270.0%1st Place
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10.33Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Harvey | 15.4% | 15.2% | 12.8% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eli Burnes | 5.6% | 5.5% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Mowry | 3.3% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Robert Bragg | 11.4% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Connor Nelson | 10.2% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Jack DeNatale | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Samuel Merson | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Connell Phillipps | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 3.2% |
| Aidan naughton | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Daniel Unangst | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Alex Bowdler | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 13.6% | 4.7% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 15.1% | 14.9% | 5.5% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Alden Grimes | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 13.3% | 25.8% | 22.4% |
| Luke Healy | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 7.8% | 16.1% | 58.5% |
| John Ped | 3.8% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 1.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.