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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.07+0.86vs Predicted
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2Clemson University0.73+1.11vs Predicted
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3University of North Carolina0.22+1.07vs Predicted
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4The Citadel0.33+0.01vs Predicted
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5Duke University0.06-0.69vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University0.59-2.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.86College of Charleston2.0748.0%1st Place
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3.11Clemson University0.7316.8%1st Place
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4.07University of North Carolina0.228.7%1st Place
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4.01The Citadel0.338.4%1st Place
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4.31Duke University0.066.2%1st Place
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3.64North Carolina State University0.5911.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonnie Ciffolillo | 48.0% | 29.7% | 13.9% | 5.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Nilah Miller | 16.8% | 21.5% | 23.5% | 17.8% | 13.2% | 7.2% |
| Noah Jost | 8.7% | 10.9% | 14.8% | 19.1% | 22.6% | 23.8% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 8.4% | 13.0% | 14.8% | 19.6% | 21.5% | 22.8% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 6.2% | 9.7% | 14.4% | 17.5% | 21.6% | 30.7% |
| William Wheary | 11.9% | 15.2% | 18.6% | 20.1% | 19.2% | 14.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.