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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Drexel University0.70+4.48vs Predicted
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2Villanova University0.73+3.60vs Predicted
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3Stevens Institute of Technology2.02+0.24vs Predicted
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4Princeton University1.81-0.53vs Predicted
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5Monmouth University1.95-1.78vs Predicted
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6Washington College2.29-3.20vs Predicted
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8Ocean County College0.30-1.82vs Predicted
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9University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.21-0.84vs Predicted
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10Penn State University-0.14-3.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.48Drexel University0.700.1%1st Place
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5.6Villanova University0.730.0%1st Place
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3.24Stevens Institute of Technology2.020.2%1st Place
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3.47Princeton University1.810.2%1st Place
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3.22Monmouth University1.950.2%1st Place
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2.8Washington College2.290.3%1st Place
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6.18Ocean County College0.300.0%1st Place
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8.16University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.210.0%1st Place
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6.86Penn State University-0.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jennifer Mislinski | 5.4% | 5.3% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 16.0% | 17.5% | 20.3% | 13.8% | 3.2% |
| Trevor VonKaenel | 4.0% | 4.5% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 14.4% | 20.9% | 18.4% | 13.9% | 4.7% |
| Christian Geary | 18.6% | 21.8% | 18.5% | 16.4% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Gebb | 18.2% | 15.8% | 18.5% | 17.8% | 15.7% | 8.1% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Paul Stevens | 21.2% | 21.2% | 17.3% | 15.1% | 11.5% | 8.7% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Mildred Conroy | 25.3% | 24.5% | 18.9% | 16.1% | 9.5% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Dave DeSimone | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 8.1% | 11.5% | 15.6% | 25.0% | 20.3% | 8.3% |
| Christopher Cormier | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 15.3% | 65.4% |
| Jacob Snyder | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 11.6% | 16.6% | 32.7% | 18.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.