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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.47+5.28vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.01+5.95vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.93+1.71vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.80+4.47vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.94+3.05vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.11+5.32vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.42-0.74vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.61+1.29vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.57+0.50vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.12-2.35vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-0.36vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-2.22vs Predicted
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13Fairfield University1.06+1.52vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.98-2.49vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University3.09-7.62vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College2.82-7.35vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.74-4.22vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy0.27-1.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.28Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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7.95Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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4.71Yale University3.930.2%1st Place
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8.47University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
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8.05Bowdoin College2.940.1%1st Place
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11.32University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
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6.26Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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9.29Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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9.5Boston University2.570.0%1st Place
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7.65Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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10.64Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.310.0%1st Place
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9.78U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.0%1st Place
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14.52Fairfield University1.060.0%1st Place
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11.51Salve Regina University1.980.0%1st Place
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7.38Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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8.65Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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12.78Northeastern University1.740.0%1st Place
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16.26Maine Maritime Academy0.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Bragg | 10.5% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack DeNatale | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Shawn Harvey | 15.7% | 14.6% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan naughton | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Alden Grimes | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Connell Phillipps | 2.7% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 3.9% |
| Connor Nelson | 10.1% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Merson | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Tyler Mowry | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Eli Burnes | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| John Ped | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 5.6% | 2.3% |
| Daniel Unangst | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 0.8% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 11.8% | 26.6% | 21.3% |
| Alex Bowdler | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 9.0% | 4.3% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 11.0% | 15.5% | 14.6% | 7.9% |
| Luke Healy | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 7.0% | 18.6% | 56.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.