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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.42+5.28vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.61+7.42vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+7.62vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.80+4.26vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.11+5.90vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+4.95vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.01+0.59vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.47-2.06vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.57+0.36vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.45+0.03vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.94-3.00vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University1.98-0.11vs Predicted
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13Yale University3.93-8.61vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University3.09-7.00vs Predicted
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15Harvard University3.12-7.86vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.74-3.49vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy0.27-0.69vs Predicted
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18Fairfield University1.06-3.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.28Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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9.42Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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10.62Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.310.0%1st Place
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8.26University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
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10.9University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
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10.95U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.170.0%1st Place
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7.59Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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5.94Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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9.36Boston University2.570.0%1st Place
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10.03Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
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8.0Bowdoin College2.940.1%1st Place
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11.89Salve Regina University1.980.0%1st Place
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4.39Yale University3.930.2%1st Place
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7.0Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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7.14Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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12.51Northeastern University1.740.0%1st Place
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16.31Maine Maritime Academy0.270.0%1st Place
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14.42Fairfield University1.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Nelson | 10.1% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Merson | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| John Ped | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 11.0% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 1.7% |
| Aidan naughton | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Connell Phillipps | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 2.6% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 3.1% |
| Jack DeNatale | 7.0% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Robert Bragg | 10.4% | 11.8% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Mowry | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| CJ Mckenna | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| Alden Grimes | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Alex Bowdler | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 13.3% | 11.5% | 4.3% |
| Shawn Harvey | 17.8% | 16.9% | 13.2% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 8.7% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Eli Burnes | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 14.8% | 6.8% |
| Luke Healy | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 16.2% | 57.1% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 13.5% | 23.2% | 20.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.